So here is the head to head analysis over the past 5 and 10 meetings.And expected margins with allowance for ground advantage.

Sydney averages a 14 point win and seems like a good margin to me.
St.Kilda has improved from 1 to 15 points recently but 4 points in a close one.
Kangaroos dropped from 14 to 7 points recently,but smashed the Tigers last time.20 points.
Collingwood averages 22 points ahead and that should continue.
Carlton averages 5 points ahead and that suits me fine.
Adelaide drops from 16 to 6 and may sneak it with 2 points to spare.
Port Power smacks from 21 up to 56 recently.Another 56 point hiding coming up.
Essendon dropped from winning by 18 to losing by a couple.I think they can win by a couple.

These predictions have very little to do with current form.Only head to head comparisons.In fact many of them seem ridiculous.But what have most results this year been?.
I expect that they will be an excellent predictor of which team to back at the line.

8 games at $20 a game costs $160.Get 4 right,and even throwing darts at the formguide will average that, and you still get back $152.All that entertainment for a measly $8.
No wonder Mr J swears by line betting.
Get 5 right and you just made 18.75% profit on turnover.Easiest $30 you could ever obtain.
I'm keeping my $30 profit in my bank so I can bet $25 a game next week and win $37.50
Oh my GOD!.What if 6 get up?.Or 7?.Don't know about you,but I'm excited.

HANG ON!
I just noticed that Sydney are at 14 points at the line.So I have them rated an even money chance at the line,but can only get $1.90!.Is it rational to back them anyway?.
Yet Essendon are being given a huge start.Surely in that case,Essendon are a much safer bet than Sydney.
YES CUSTOMERS.Enter the Overlay.
Based on the above margins,here are the appropriate wagers at the line,allowing for a minimum 15% profit on investment.

Essendon $25
Hawthorn $20
Carlton $20
Port Adelaide $25
Sydney No Bet
Adelaide $20
Kangaroos $20
Collingwood $25

If you bet with Global Sportsbet you can put money in your account and every Friday they give you $1.95 for the $1.90 lines.
Also, instead of betting on most or all games if you just select say your best 3 or 4 you will probably have better results. Like the Bombers last night. We were never going to get poleaxed last night. +42 points. EASY

I actually ha 3 bets.
Essendon
Carlton
Collingwood

But I have learnt that the year 2000 and earlier results are irrelevant.
So it's the last 5 head to heads only from now on!

LOST AGAIN.
Sometimes you just need to persevere with the trek.
But most important are a working compass and a current map.
The compass is to be sure you are headed in the right direction,and the map tells you if you are on the right path.
Well I updated my map to use only the recent 5 head to head games.
And used my compass and it tells me I'm headed for Collingwood pot'o'gold.

Top 4 selections at the line became:
Collingwood
Kangaroos
Adelaide
Essendon

3 got up!
And Collingwood play tomorrow.

Here's the go for Round 13.

Essendon $1.46
Adelaide $1.51
Geelong $1.58
West Coast $1.61
Kangaroos $1.64

All overlays at the line of $1.90

2 in the bag with 3 to go!
1 out of 2 tomorrow gives me a free ride on Essendon next week.
And they are the line bet of the round!

So four out of five winners and this time the special did get up!
Stay tuned for next weeks tips punters.

Check this bloke out.
Kicks ******** and then says he's got more next week and then he ********es off.
Orto be barred!