Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Sports and Gambling
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 13th October 2002, 01:13 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

at the burswood casino here in perth there is a wheel with the odds of 1-1 3-1 5-1 11-1
23-1 47-1 comprising of a total of 50 numbers
the percentages are below the true odds as others have said on this forum. however, does anyone think that it would be feasible with a suitable staking plan to make this a profitable venture betting on 1-1(44%) and 3-1(24%) table limit for 1-1 is $100 and 3-1 $50 with a $2 minimum bet. interested in any opinions


Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 13th October 2002, 02:14 PM
Mr. Logic Mr. Logic is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 243
Default

Sorry to disappoint you adonis, but no staking plan can make selections that lose at level stakes return a long term profit.

[ This Message was edited by: Mr. Logic on 2002-10-13 15:15 ]
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 13th October 2002, 06:30 PM
becareful becareful is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Canberra
Posts: 730
Default

Adonis,

Mr Logic is correct - there is no way to turn that into a winning system through a staking plan. If you want to look at the figures:

Looking at the 44% option - you would have to start your betting sequence at $2 and double after each losing bet - so the betting sequence would be $2, $4, $8, $16, $32, $64. If any of these bets win the you would make a profit of $2. If the $64 bet loses then you have lost $126 (64+32+16+8+4+2) - you cannot go any higher due to the limit.
The chance of each bet losing is 56% so the chance of all 6 bets losing is .56^6 (56% to the power of 6 or 0.56*0.56*0.56*0.56*0.56*0.56 which is roughly 3.1%

So if you start the betting sequence 100 times you will win your $2 97 times and lose $126 3 times. So profit on your wins will be $194 (2*97), but you will lose $378 on your losing runs. So total loss will be $184.

I suggest you keep your money in your pocket - don't donate it to the casino!
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 01:51 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655