Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #31  
Old 26th December 2011, 04:58 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,433
Default

lol o.k. Party, yes I can see it now.
I must watch my posts, as they provide too much entertainment
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 422,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/07/2025
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #32  
Old 26th December 2011, 06:50 PM
Barny Barny is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 1,091
Default

Chrome Prince - I'd like to answer these one by one ..... and no doubt not too many will be hanging on every word I post, but I don't mind at all. It's what I've learned and I think it's logical.

Look at what the trainer is doing with the horse. - ABSOLUTELY

Has it got gear on, gear off. - not looking there at this stage, although I'm going to look at the gelding of horses, how long they take to recover etc ..... might come to nothing. As I've posted in the past, Tongie Tie on is an interesting one.

Has it been trialled. - Never been there in any meaningful way

Has he entered in duplicate races and scratched it for this. - Ditto above

Has he entered any other stable runners. - Ditto above

Is he repeating a successful lead up last season. - Yes seen a lot of this and the prices certainly reflect the lead up form. Wouldn't touch it with a ten foot pole.

Is he putting on a jockey who won a few starts back. - Nope

Has he for some reason dramatically changed the horse's distance. - Not lookign for a massive change in the horses distance, but if it happens it's as a result of a previous rule.

Is he gradually reducing or increasing distance. - Ditto above, but I'm not looking for the horses pet distance ..... everyone else looks for that don't they?

Is he gradually increasing the grade, or is he massively jumping grade. - Don't look for it, if it does massively increase in grade it would be as a result of one other rule. I would certainly back a horse from my system with a massive increase in grade. Usually most of them do go up in grade on my main system.

What's the market saying? - Like this one, but not for this particular method.

I come from a totally different direction now .... The horse I back may have recent poor form, or recent really good form. It's like looking at the trainers up coming program for the horse, and being prepared to back a horse that runs last beaten the length of the straight. It's worth trying to get off the traditional "form" (at least as I know it) study and come at things from a different direction. I try and pick a fit horse (that's basically it .... with two v. important filters .... one of 'em get's rid of a lot of losers), some methods couldn't give tuppence about the horse, they're only interested in the odds, others look at the field and assess the better chances, others have "stable" methods.

I doubt I'll change tack from here ..... I'll try and specialise in this are, but too much information and tinkering will ruin the basic system, I'm sure of that!
Reply With Quote
  #33  
Old 26th December 2011, 07:52 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,561
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Barny
I doubt I'll change tack from here ..... I'll try and specialise in this are, but too much information and tinkering will ruin the basic system, I'm sure of that!

Specialisation is what a lot of experts say is a very good thing to do. Learn one area (track, form factor) and know eveything about it. I think it has a lot of merit.
Reply With Quote
  #34  
Old 27th December 2011, 12:56 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,426
Default

Well, I guess if it's a gelding it doesn't make that much diff. it it's got it's "gear" on OR off, when it comes to push v shove ,..... so to speak!



Haahahahahha!........ sorry couldn't resist!!!!
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 01:39 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655