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#1
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Warrnambool Hurdle/SteepleToday
The first four races at Warrnambool today make up a pick-4 on AmericaTAB for us yanks and Canadians betting Australian racing. There is a decent amount in the pool which carries over 100% from day to day if no one correctly picks it.
We have very few of these hurdle/steeple races here, so I haven't much to go on in trying to find a winner in races 1 and 4. Any handicapping insight or selections would be much appreciated. Regards, Glenn
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There's something happening here, what it is ain't exactly clear. Retired or retarded? Much the same. I'm retired... Last edited by TheAvenger : 19th September 2006 at 03:34 AM. |
#2
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Thats a bit sad having 2 jumping races in your pick 4. These hurdles races today are hard as so maybe go as wide as you can. anyway for what is worth in the 1st race i like numbers 4,5,8. and in race 4 i like 1,5. The 2nd race is a maiden so thats hard too like defiantly no 2 as well as 10,15,16. Race 3 small field should be able to get the winner here, like numbers 2,3,5. Hope these are ok for you mate. As I said its very hard meeting and geez you poor yanks are going to have to have a lot of luck today go your way. Good luck in whatever you do today Avenger.
Cheers Breadman.
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LOve all sports. |
#3
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At least now I have some chance to score.Thank you very much Breadman, for taking the time to have a look.
The Australian racing site in the U.S. prints daily ratings and actually likes the #5 in race 1 and the #3 in race 3 as specials in the six races we get from there today. The only other special today is the #7 horse in race 2 at Coff's Harbour. It looks like they use some kind of neural system to generate their ratings. Good luck to you today. Regards, Glenn
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There's something happening here, what it is ain't exactly clear. Retired or retarded? Much the same. I'm retired... |
#4
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Quote:
No Barker Lad??? For what it's worth Glenn, I decided to try out my ratings on these races and this is what they came up with: RACE 1 80 . $2.1 . 5 . SANDERS LEGACY 47 . $3.6 . 3 . POKER FACE 12 . $14.3 . 4 . TRAVELLING BOY 12 . $14.3 . 1 . WAARIA 7 . $25.0 . 7 . AETOLUS 5 . $33.3 . 6 . SHERBORNE 2 . $100.0 . 13 . ATONE RACE 2 67 . $2.5 . 10 . JERRYMAC 30 . $5.6 . 2 . CORRUPT JUDGE 25 . $6.7 . 5 . HYPED 22 . $7.7 . 1 . BIKKIE BARREL 22 . $7.7 . 14 . YENALED RACE 3 70 . $2.4 . 1 . BARKER LAD 52 . $3.2 . 3 . CLOUDS OF COGNAC 28 . $5.9 . 6 . LIKABLE WILL 13 . $12.5 . 2 . SUNBOAT 3 . $50.0 . 4 . TANTRALITE RACE 4 47 . $3.6 . 2 . CAPTAIN'S KEY 42 . $4.0 . 4 . MAXIMISATION 28 . $5.9 . 1 . ALOBAR 28 . $5.9 . 3 . NOAH YARN 15 . $11.1 . 5 . DINNA LATAR 3 . $50.0 . 7 . JIMMY CASINO RACE 5 47 . $3.6 . 1 . BOURBONSTREETBLUES 22 . $7.7 . 6 . XSPARKX 18 . $9.1 . 7 . FLASH AFFAIR 17 . $10.0 . 4 . BEAU SABREUR 13 . $12.5 . 2 . EDDIE'S EAGLE 13 . $12.5 . 5 . JANERICDESNIK 10 . $16.7 . 12 . TRESTINA 8 . $20.0 . 10 . CHEVANTY 8 . $20.0 . 3 . LANDSLIDE VICTORY 7 . $25.0 . 15 . LE DELUGE RACE 6 60 . $2.8 . 6 . CAMPASPE RIVER 43 . $3.8 . 8 . SPINNING RED 27 . $6.3 . 11 . KELCHER 18 . $9.1 . 5 . YOU GO FOR HUGO 13 . $12.5 . 1 . METHODICAL BOY 5 . $33.3 . 3 . RURAL LAW 3 . $50.0 . 4 . SURFIE PETE RACE 7 57 . $2.9 . 2 . WHY NOT WORK 38 . $4.3 . 1 . FLYING DE LAGO 38 . $4.3 . 5 . HOWQUA 18 . $9.1 . 6 . WINE BUFF 7 . $25.0 . 7 . CONCEPTS 2 . $100.0 . 3 . LEMONADE PARTY RACE 8 75 . $2.2 . 2 . GREAT STEPS 42 . $4.0 . 4 . HANDSOME IS 25 . $6.7 . 11 . AUSSIE HUMOR 20 . $8.3 . 7 . ARE EFF GEE 10 . $16.7 . 8 . SUPER PINS 10 . $16.7 . 1 . TEARINUPTHECOUNTRY 2 . $100.0 . 3 . PRINCE JEUNE Last edited by Sportz : 19th September 2006 at 12:00 PM. |
#5
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Thanks Sportz. It's a tough day there. I like the looks of your system and the numerical values it assigns each runner.
Regards, Glenn
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There's something happening here, what it is ain't exactly clear. Retired or retarded? Much the same. I'm retired... Last edited by TheAvenger : 19th September 2006 at 11:56 AM. |
#6
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This is what my prediction are for your first 4 races
Race 1 : Will go for 3, 5 and 9. Race 2 : 5 and 10. Interested on 5 as the rating is high with just returned from spell Race 3 : 1 Race 4 : 1 and 4 |
#7
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So far so good
Glenn
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There's something happening here, what it is ain't exactly clear. Retired or retarded? Much the same. I'm retired... Last edited by TheAvenger : 19th September 2006 at 12:05 PM. |
#8
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Hmmm, unfortunately I didn't have Brother Jim in my ratings at all, but Sanders Legacy got there, and by my ratings, he was the best bet of the day.
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#9
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I had Brother as my 4th pick and nailed the quinella even though I don't know what the Hell I'm doing on a hurdle race.
Glenn
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There's something happening here, what it is ain't exactly clear. Retired or retarded? Much the same. I'm retired... |
#10
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Quote:
It's a rating out of 100. Almost never get a score of 100 though. As a rule, any horse that scores 70 or more is a big chance and a score of 80 or more usually indicates a special. Those ratings are then converted to odds. I guess you'll have to double that figure to equate with US Tab dividends though. Your divs are based on $2 bets, aren't they? Geez, race 5 looks damn hard. You're probably lucky that race isn't in your pick 4. Last edited by Sportz : 19th September 2006 at 12:21 PM. |
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