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Old 1st March 2007, 11:54 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink Maria's Selection Method

Maria understandably will not reveal her selection method but she may have given us a few clues. I would say she's done so willingly otherwise she would have not made the comments.

A ) On page 6 (26/09/05) she mentions Barney Curley whom I assume is a trainer.

B ) On page 7 (30/09/05) she talks about the horse Catch The Perk - "it was 0/7 on today's ground, it's sires progeny's are 5% on the ground and 5% at the distance and the trainer hadn't a winner for 6 months."

C ) On page 17 (19/10/05) she talks about the horse Bathwick Emmy:
1 - was unplaced on EVERY start over today's going.
2 - sire's progeny's record on this going only about 5%.
3 - also unplaced on EVERY start over this distance.
4 - sire's progeny's record over this distance also only about 5%.
5 - had a bad draw (only 5% record for this draw at this racecourse in relevant races.
6 - trainer's form was only 1 win from the last 30+ races.

It would seem that she considers important:
Trainer's strike rate.
Distance of race.
Condition of track.
Progeny.
The particular track.
Barrier.

She mentions "trainer" in all three posts which would indicate this could be very important to her.

Maybe she said all the above as a smokescreen for anyone trying to discover her selection method. These selections won their respective races, and as she lists valid reasons why she selected them as Lays, this would suggest they are important factors to her and she has no compunctions in informing everyone.

Just thought I'd mention it. Food for thought???
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