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  #1  
Old 14th January 2008, 10:52 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Default Can any one test this please

1) Horse must have between 80% and 99% place strike rate

2) Must be the only selection in the race

3) must have had atleast 5 starts
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  #2  
Old 15th January 2008, 02:20 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Not too good Shaun,

5063 selections

Win return $4,588.20
Place return $4,474.28

So it's a 9.4% win loss on turnover approximately.

That's as per your rules taking out multiple runners in a race.
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  #3  
Old 15th January 2008, 10:25 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Chrome, as expected BUT, just as a matter of interest what was the % of places?
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  #4  
Old 15th January 2008, 10:48 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Thanks mate, we will see what we can do with that.

One day i will have to make a good investment in that database then i can run my own tests.
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  #5  
Old 15th January 2008, 11:19 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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5063 selections
2421 placings

Place Strike rate of 47.82%
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  #6  
Old 16th January 2008, 12:03 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Chrome, thanks for that, but it sounds too bad to be true, is that the WIN s/r maybe?
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  #7  
Old 16th January 2008, 07:55 AM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Yes, it's the place strike rate.

It's actually 47.62% S/R, I included NTD horses by accident
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  #8  
Old 16th January 2008, 09:47 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Chrome, I'm amazed then at the ave. divi and only a lot of 10%, considering that you'd expect horses with 80-90% place S/R to be fairly short, amazing!
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  #9  
Old 18th January 2008, 10:48 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
Not too good Shaun,

5063 selections

Win return $4,588.20
Place return $4,474.28

So it's a 9.4% win loss on turnover approximately.

That's as per your rules taking out multiple runners in a race.



Can i ask over what period did you run these stats as these are only about 15 selections per week this seams a lot of runners unless these stats are for about 10 years results.
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  #10  
Old 18th January 2008, 03:20 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Hi Shaun,
it's amazing how one can be mislead by place percentage.
I would not have believed myself, that the result was so poor.
I quickly double checked it back to 2001 and out of 4424 races there were only 967 winners. A miserable 21.84%. Did not bother to check the place% after this.
Goes to show the fallacy of relaying on simple filters, doesn't it?
Good luck

Last edited by lomaca : 18th January 2008 at 03:32 PM.
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