An advanatage of my system became apparent last week in the Western Force-Chiefs match. I had the Western Force as favorite in spite of them being bookie underdog and lower in the league table. My system corrects for home advantage. Prior to the match, The chiefs had been home in 5 international matches and away in 1, for a surplus of 4. The Western Force had been home in 3 international matches and away in 5 for a deficit of 2. Both teams had equal domestic home and away numbers of matches. That meant that the Chiefs relative to the Western Force had a previous advantage of 6 home international matches. Score diference was corrected by 30 points making the Western Force the favorite. In fact they did win and paid a nice divident on an overlay bet.

Good luck wth week 13.

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

Super 14 Week 13.txt (3.7 KB, 348 views)