#1
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![]() Hi guys can someone please run a simple query for me? Total POT on all favourites over last year and total POT on all favourites down in distance between 100 and 600 meters (seperate queries)?
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#2
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![]() Quote:
Fav. S/R 32.62% POT -11.01% Fav down >=100 and <=600 S/R 33.48% POT -9.62% You have to realise that when a horse is favorite, any additional filter has negligible effect on return and strike rate. Unless of course a 1 or 2 % makes a difference for you, then it can be important. Good luck Last edited by lomaca : 26th June 2009 at 12:56 PM. |
#3
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![]() Thanks for that, much appreciated. Could i trouble you run that same query but only where the fav is male?
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#4
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![]() Fav. all S/R 32.62% POT -11.01 %
----------------------------------------- Fav. colts S/R 33.30 % POT -9.28 % Fav. geldings S/R 32.68 % POT -10.84 % Fav. fillies S/R 33.40 % POT -10.7 % Fav down-dist all >=100 and <=600 S/R 33.48% POT -9.62% ------------------------------------------------------------- Fav down-dist colts >=100 and <=600 S/R 33.95% POT -7.78% Fav down-dist geldings >=100 and <=600 S/R 33.46% POT -9.71% Fav down-dist fillies >=100 and <=600 S/R 33.40% POT -10.7% Good luck PS, for less than $500 a year everyone can have a personal database, if you are winning, you can afford it and it helps you win more. If you are losing, maybe this is what will make a difference. I'm not selling anything, check out the ads on this forum. Last edited by lomaca : 26th June 2009 at 08:33 PM. |
#5
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![]() I believe one will see a difference in what sort of favs win depending on price range & field size.
Example All Favs approx 30%W Plc 62% This includes odds-on horses which on their own win 55% of their races Favs 1-7 runners 40%W SR Favs priced $2.80+ = 24%SR This is the value range one likes to hit upon. Any less & it starts to get really hard to pull a profit. Favs priced $4.70-6.00 18% W SR These can make for good laying possibilities. Favs in 9 runners & less 70%Plc SR Delete females that are competing against males & are Fav 75% If one were to back all Favs in races 1-7 priced 2.90 & less & deleting the competing females , it shows a slight profit. Any more & it shows a loss. The Fav will run 2nd or 3rd 32% of the time . They percentage between the the two varies slightly month to month & year to year. Favs in Maiden events who are having their first career start have the highest W% of all ... weird. Check out the interactive UK site by Adrian Massey (Google) where one can crunch some ideas. Maybe try & break up ones research over field sizes. 1-7 8-9 10-12 13-15 16-20 Its all very well to get a SR on a fav. Its another to get the price you fell you need to back it. Cheers.
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Cheers. |
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