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  #1  
Old 24th September 2011, 11:04 AM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Arrow Testing Resumers

After a post or two from lomaca on another thread I have decided to test resumers but only particular ones.

I randomly checked a few different race days and it seemed to look okay with some decent priced winners and placed horses but I didn't write down anything so it probably won't amount to much. I will not use any real money on this but will test for win and place.

Starting on a Saturday is probably no the smartest thing to do but I will start out pretty broadly as per the rules below and see where it takes us.

Rules to start of with - using TattsBet/Unitab site and results:
- Race distance under 1400m (but not including 1400m)
- Must be 1X or 2X
- Will also check XanyX (where there is only one run between the two spells)
- Will also check 1X1
- We back all selections if there is more than one in a race

Selections today Saturday 24/9/11

Doomben (Race No & then Horse No(s)
2 4 & 7
7 1

Rosehill
5 9 (1x1 form)
8 5 & 8

Caulfield
1 1, 4 & 8 (x7x form)
7 11

Gold Coast
3 7 (form x8x)
7 5

Newcastle
7 3 & 9

Packenham
7 2

Morphettville
6 2 (form x6x)
8 7, 13 & 4 (form 1x1)

Bowraville
1 5 (form x3x)

Belmont
1 1, 4 & 5
3 1
6 6

Geraldton
5 11

Darwin
5 5

27 selections so Outlay = $27 for win and $27 for place

Sounds like a big outlay. Hopefully it will be alright.

Fingers crossed
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  #2  
Old 24th September 2011, 11:49 AM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho
After a post or two from lomaca on another thread I have decided to test resumers but only particular ones.

I randomly checked a few different race days and it seemed to look okay with some decent priced winners and placed horses but I didn't write down anything so it probably won't amount to much. I will not use any real money on this but will test for win and place.

Starting on a Saturday is probably no the smartest thing to do but I will start out pretty broadly as per the rules below and see where it takes us.

Rules to start of with - using TattsBet/Unitab site and results:
- Race distance under 1400m (but not including 1400m)
- Must be 1X or 2X
- Will also check XanyX (where there is only one run between the two spells)
- Will also check 1X1
- We back all selections if there is more than one in a race

Good luck with it, I may add that if they are DonSct's first or second selections on the Neurals site, then they have an even better chance, any distance any odd price the longer the better!

By being selective I really meant selective ie won or placed on the distance and good at first up!
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  #3  
Old 24th September 2011, 12:25 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
Good luck with it, I may add that if they are DonSct's first or second selections on the Neurals site, then they have an even better chance, any distance any odd price the longer the better!

By being selective I really meant selective ie won or placed on the distance and good at first up!

DonSct's first or second selections on the Neurals site



Sorry I have to rephrase that "first or second selections" in the BRR column! That is top or second rated in that column!
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  #4  
Old 24th September 2011, 12:59 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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No worries lomaca. At this stage I'll keep it to the existing rules and see what happens, although were off to an incredible start - NOT!
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  #5  
Old 25th September 2011, 10:19 AM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho
were off to an incredible start - NOT!
See if we can do better with these then?

ALS
race 2 #2 Happy Ha Ha
race 3 # 6 Swingin' Amour
-----------------------------------
NZ race 8 # 12 Designacat ???
--------------------------------
Bairnsdale
race 1 #8 Mi Kerida
race 2 #5 I Feel Good
race 3 #1 Shifting Shadows
race 5 #1 Biondi
---------------------------------
Hobart
race 2 #2 Ground Control
race 8 #8 Smartie Artie
----------------------------------
Nar
race 3 #1 Tears I Cry
race 4 #13 Miss Dargrelli
race 5 #3 Ron's Call
race 9 #14 Bellaben
------------------------------
Qen race 1 #4 Lindy's Alanza
race 2 #11 Magic Missal
---------------------------------
Sey
race 1 #1 Ransom Demand ???
race 5 #2 Breitling
race 7 #5 Covered In Class
---------------------------------
Sun race 5 #6 Prince Liam


Good luck

Last edited by lomaca : 25th September 2011 at 10:21 AM.
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  #6  
Old 25th September 2011, 10:56 AM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Good luck with it lomaca. Are the selections what you said yesterday - resumers that are top 2 in the BRR Don Scott ratings?

Yesterday was terrible.
Outlay $27 Win only $9.10, Place only $9.20
So big losses for both win and place yesterday.
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  #7  
Old 25th September 2011, 11:23 AM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho
Good luck with it lomaca. Are the selections what you said yesterday - resumers that are top 2 in the BRR Don Scott ratings?
Yes they are.
I noticed, that when DS rating selects one on the top and it's a resumer, but not in top half of the neurals or morning line, it very often wins or places at good odds.

I'm not betting them just monitoring them when I check the results.

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho

Yesterday was terrible.
Outlay $27 Win only $9.10, Place only $9.20
So big losses for both win and place yesterday.
Well, I didn't expect anything else really, just because first up horses do win doesn't mean they ALL win all the time.

I bet some when the prices are right, but I have very few bets and bet in the $10+ range mostly.
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  #8  
Old 25th September 2011, 12:07 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
See if we can do better with these then?


Bairnsdale
race 1 #8 Mi Kerida
Good luck
OOPs, sorry I just noticed that the winner at Bairnsdale was a first up horse as well and top in DS.

Better check it for yourselves to make sure I didn't miss any, if you follow this folly!
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  #9  
Old 25th September 2011, 12:20 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile

According to Barry Blakemores research Fillies and mares do better as do 2 + 3YO

Might be worth looking into.

Cheers
darky
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  #10  
Old 25th September 2011, 12:33 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
OOPs, sorry I just noticed that the winner at Bairnsdale was a first up horse as well and top in DS.

Better check it for yourselves to make sure I didn't miss any, if you follow this folly!
Better check it for yourselves to make sure.

Yes check it!
I missed the #1 in the next at Bairnsdale as well!!

Sooo there must be others!

Last edited by lomaca : 25th September 2011 at 12:36 PM.
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