Hi

Just wondering if any of you know of an easy way to eliminate about 30% of horses in a race that will have no chance of winning. With a high success rate of about 90+%.

Or could provide me with some ideas/help on how to do this and for what type of races if possible.

mate, new here so am i. but im good at picking losers but the only system i have is to put money on them. good luck in the future.
good punting everyone!

G'day,

had to laugh at your post, so many days I was so sure of success, and the inexplicable things happened, resulting in 4x 4ths, and yet other days I thought I would be VERY lucky to show a profit even with 80% succes rate (place betting) and then some thing comes in 3rd and pays $3.30c and another $2.70, so all I can say is it is the "overall" picture that matters over many hundreds of "investments" but good luck!!

PS. Just thought I would include my ratings bets for tomorrow, though I must be "mad"
PR8-2 Field Commander
MR1-1 lauras Charm
MR6-1 Gold Class
MR8-11 Tall Timbers
SR1-4 Alsizes
BR3-1 Power And Gold
BR8-6 I Scream

I basically bet place only, and use "own" judgement if showing less than $1.30 (supertab) 1 minute b4 the off. However I also run a win bet method of which Field Commander is a contender, but remember that this is 1 of approx 300 bets a year with this particular method so it doesn't mean that Field Commander "WILL" win, it just means that it has a 76% chance as far as I am concerned, which still leaves a 24% chance that it won't!!! Good luck!

Inny,

EVERY horse has a chance.

Ruling out 30% of the runners in a race may indeed rule out the 100/1 winner !

I see your general point though and there are many ways to zero in on a small group that usually contains the winner of a race.

Concentrate on the first 5 in the pre-post odds market or the top 5 in a good rating list from Sportsman, Winning post, Wizard or even from the newspaper. They will all contain the winner 80% of the time.


Partypooper,

WOW, what an incredible handicapper you are. You have rated a runner a 76% [not 75% ???] chance of winning !!! LOLOLOL

Cheers.



[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-03-27 07:01 ]

Yep, would have to agree partypooper - mad :lol:

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Ta me go maith

You could always follw my tips in the comp that would assure you of some losers

Paddy, thanks for the kind thoughts, still, 4 winners from 7 bets is not that bad for a crackpot eh?? (chew that slowly)

Crash, I wish I was somewhere near the handicapper that you mention, nothing quite so elaborate, I merely meant that my win method has produced (over all 76% winners) though needless to say they are usually short, but still showing a reasonable profit, though 2day was not mine (Field Commander) but there you go. At least my selections were posted BEFORE RACING (and I recently did just that on THIS forum, for 6 weeks and showed a great profit) wheras theres a few fantastic experts here (on Mondays that is, hahaha!) keep it coming

Yes some nice results partypooper, but I do reiterate - your MAD!! But mad in a nice way. :smile: Posting those selections gratis :roll: They will all expect more!
Like I said mad, mad, mad :lol:

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Ta me go maith

I eat my words Partypooper [I did pick up Tenancy @ $8.10 and Gold Class in the comp. and on the punt].

If you say 76%, I say... ' YES SIR ' !!!

Now about next week's chances MISTER PARTYPOOPER SIR...???

Probably better to e/m them though.

Cheers. LOLOL


[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-03-28 07:22 ]