Building my NRL system now that the S12 season is basically finished. Will probally have plenty of questions. First one:

Is Stadium Australia (or whatever they call it these days) a neutral venue?

The bulldogs played 6 games there last year during the regular season, should they be considered home games? Even if they are considered a home fixture, is it a REAL 'home game'?

Mr J,

I think the Bulldogs play half their home games at the Sydney Showground and half at Stadium Australia (Telstra Stadium). While Stadium Australia is definitely their home ground, I wouldn't actually say they have a HUGE home ground advantage there. You are going to be confronted with a few problems like that. In S12 basically EVERY match is played on someone's home ground, but in the NRL and more especially in the AFL, there are quite a few games that are played at venues where the 'home' team doesn't necessarily have a decided advantage.

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-05-10 14:35 ]

G'day fellas,

The Bulldogs ( at least I think it's the Dogs) even have a home game at the Cake Tin, Wellington NZ as well, but thats over for this season....keep your eye on that for early next season Mr.J

Yeah, the Bulldogs DO play their home game against the Warriors in Wellington. See Mr J, that's something that certainly doesn't happen in S12.

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-05-10 23:09 ]

And they have won most of their games there which is even more unusual...

Also doing NFL now. So many stats available :grin:

Found a trend that has gone 287-214 at an average price of 1.91 (-110). So that's about a 10% POT. Good enough to suggest it is probally profitable.

Anyway back to the NRL and AFL for now.

Well I've done 5 teams now. Only tested 6 games so far and am at 4-2. All 6 picks have been dogs. I'm hoping to do all the previous games this season (around 50-60?), and go 30-20 or so.

It's only a slightly altered version of my S12 system, just hoping that it works :wink:

Also noticed that 3 of my totals have hit the spread at the TAB. Do they do regular totals (ie under/over 40 points) or just these spreads (e.g. 20-30 points, 31-40, 41-50 etc).

You could probably find some bookies that use over/under but the TABs only seem to use the other method.

Well since I want to start capping NFL as well I've decided to make a new system. It's not really new, using the same idea's as my S12 just much more detailed. I just like to have a proper system that pumps out scores instead of just following trends.

The way I'm making this system it should be universal, i.e. enter the stats for any footy code and it should pump out scores. I'd need about 3 years of stats on each sport. It's obviously aimed at footy codes (specifically rugby league, rugby union and super 12s), but could work for sports like NHL and NBA. Not sure about soccer or AFL though.

Sheesh Mr J...that must be one hell of a system...you know you could make a lot of money puttimg something like that out in the market (after test driving of course)...Good luck!