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  #1  
Old 3rd June 2005, 08:29 PM
maverick1993 maverick1993 is offline
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Default Eagle Farm Dribble

Race 1 . Not interested this race..not sure about this florilegum..think kanetoshi millions might be a nice eachway bet as with Admiral Spy..but first up over 1300m might be asking to much..if the values there might box them with the toppy and throw in Birthday bash who likes the track and will apreciate the dry.

Race 2. They say you should forgive a horse 1 bad run..so i'll forgive Enthusiasts last run and pretend it didnt happen...hes right in this race if he can dictate out in front..I really liked Face Values last run but not sure about the 1500m...bloodnBones run was good with a huge weight last time and drops 6kgs..i'll be looking at these three..

Race 3. Good race this one...Pentelikon was very impressive last start..hit the line hard and i doesnt seem to worry her if she doesnt get cover,,with beadman on top she looks real good..hope to get atleast 8's.
Yvonne is a interesting runner..wasnt riden very well lsat start but with seamer on board has a big show here..Tui song would be a shoe in if it was alittle longer...she'll be flying late and can trak yvonne into the race..
Lil elsa has been knocking on the door but might be looking for longer aswell..
throw in Our sweet moss in the tris and 1st 4's and we should be looking good.

Race 4. Spirit of tara has been flying of late..his last run was outstanding..and will be nice value...i was on Saxon for his win and jumped onto Willy next start when he won again..i like willy here and the track suits..just wasnt overly impressed with his sprint last start but with colless aboard it makes alot of difference....will probably load up on willy if i get the right odds but will be having something on the Spirit as well..

Race 5. Testifiable is screaming out for this track and distance..but will have to be right on his game to catch Virage..i dont think Diamonds won as well as he should have last start so im willing to risk him..foolish has the nice barrier and should be thereabouts..
i wonder if Seamer was sacked on Testifiable or he chose to ride Darci Brahma ??? will be keeping that horse safe in the multis.

Race 6. Another Cracker....Cinque was just to impressive to last start to ignore here..Vitesse dane was good aswell..
Irish Darling over this distance doesnt seem to have the sprint she'll need to catch them from the wide barrier..feel pretty confident with these 3 ..
nice 1st 4 race to with the jackpot throw in Aqua and GlenShian

Race 7. How will they catch All Bar One > this horse is flying..cant see anything running the last sectional needed to catch him..Lamond was good last start and Sir Breaky ran a huge race last start...If Maybe All BAr one after 2 starts has lost his brilliance ..i'd give these 2 a chance of causing an upset....would love to tip Legally bay because i know she can produce the sectionals to win here,,sh will get the tempo to suit though and the track will suit as well but her form has been inconsistent..Sky Cuddles last run was huge and if it rains shes in it with a big chance,,
might have a play with the multis but will be leaving this race alone..

race 8. Easy race this...Pacific Dancer is fit and winsthis and the Cup..take the doubles now Only Zingam has a show with good old County Tryone not totally out of it either....im not a fan of Platnum scissors and it might end up biting me on the ass..Devasting should like it better here and beadmans sticking with him ..just hated his run last start...keep him safe though (see race 2)

great day ...only one more sleep

other horse i like tomorrow,,Intermoo, So Assertive, wencelas square
.Majestic flush. Moggs ..polygram, Jillimarg, Parameter, miss latar, Fun at Last,
..
wow just to much happening tomorrow..
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  #2  
Old 3rd June 2005, 08:38 PM
Chuck Chuck is offline
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1: Not intersested either
2: Doonan might get the run he's been searching for. On a High has also been struggling for form. Blood 'n' Bone maybe at odds
3: Many chances here! Magsaya has impressed in Sydney. Tui Song, OSM and Royal Mask are all capable. And Wasimah had a brave Brisbane debut
4: Willy Leica is my best bet for the day at EF. made up massive ground last start, will relish the 2100m. Barrier 16 is not thatbig of a problem. Spirit of Tara is my danger
5: i like Diamondsondinside on last few starts, kincharm is honest, but katsidis i think will put on a show
6: Vitesse Dane easily
7: Sky Cuddle over Beautiful gem. Both have shown capability, but need to reproduce
8: Zingam to do it for stable chuck!
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  #3  
Old 3rd June 2005, 08:42 PM
maverick1993 maverick1993 is offline
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I thought Magsaya was scratched ??? hope so because it changes a few things..
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  #4  
Old 3rd June 2005, 09:12 PM
Raw Instinct Raw Instinct is offline
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Race 1: Not even interested in the race to be honest Raadisi is one I would consider though nothing big though.

Race 2: Blood 'n' Bone is in this right upto his eyeballs drops so much in weight he just demands respect in this one, Doonan is the big danger hasn't had the best of luck and is weighted well in this one after that I don't mind the 2 kiwis Elendil and Anne Carina.

Race 3: Bllody hard race this one but I do think this is perfect for Tui Song it has run some huge races since it has come over here and I expect it to be just about fully wound up here, Lil Elsa and Royal Mask both intrigue me and Pentelikon was a big run last start after that Yvonne and Image of Reality could be chances aswell.

Race 4: Special Times was a good run last start didn't look to get the most room aswell as not being all that well away the extra ground will suit to a tee, Willy Leica looks hardest to beat although I did feel he had every possible chance last start didn't look to get impeded or anything. I think they are the main 2 winning chances have my doubts about Saxon at this distance.

Race 5: I could just about give half of this field a chance to win this race and if they go hard it will really suit my top pick aswell as a few others then it comes down to luck more than anything. Kincharm will be running on and he was chasing a very good horse who seemed to get a pretty easy time of it in front last time out shouldn't be the case in this field Katsidis, Diamondsondinside, Darci Brahma and Ready As will be hitting the line hard I think.

Race 6: The hardest part about this oaks is all the Kiwis it is so hard to line them up we know what Cinque Cento has to offer even if it was over a shorter trip it was so impressive, I just think that either Prize Lady or Felenic could just be good enough to take this one home at the moment I am going towards Felenic.

Race 7: I am going with the horse that I think is the best horse in the race and that is Lamond when at his best he wins this and wins it well a very classy horse who all but won a pretty good race over in NZ just getting knocked off by Sedecrem on the post there is no Sedecrem in this race.

Race 8: Pacific Dancer and Zingam are the 2 hardest horses to beat in this race I just hope that there is some speed in this race make it true staying test then it will be very interesting but the simple fact is that it hasn't happened at all in these staying races in Brisbane this winter. I'll have a bit e/w on Raw Instinct and depending on which I decide that I like more out of the other 2 tomorrow.

Good Luck guys it is a tough one.
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  #5  
Old 4th June 2005, 12:14 AM
TESTAROSSA TESTAROSSA is offline
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Race 1:

Like That's Better in the first, very consistent should get good run with cover from barrier 1, same could be said for A Little Naughty, Florilegium will probably lead and might prove hard to run down, chuck in Birthday Bash at odds.

Race 2:

Face Value has had 3 runs from a spell and improved on each start, started to motor home in the concluding stages behind Ballet Society, Drop back in distance and track will suit On A High, Prosecution might get a soft lead and drops a lot in weight, class a query but this race doesnt seem to be a genuine listed race.

Race 3:

Sharp Aunty should start at nice odds, doesn't know how to run a bad race, and after breaking through 2 starts back and a late finishing 4th behind All Bar One when nothing else made ground should run a huge race, Tui Song was blocked for a run at a crucial stage last start and could have almost beat Beautiful Gem who i have as a best bet later in the day, query on the distance, Our Sweet Moss has finally drawn at least a half decent barrier after drawing 17 and 14 last 2 starts loves Eagle Farm and unlucky last start, Silk and Money can run a huge race if its performance 2 starts back happens again.

Race 4:

Willy Leica will appreciate the 2100m at Eagle Farm, barrier no problem, Svenska has a huge drop in weights, has the class after only being beaten by 3 and 4 lengths behind Eremien in the Rosehill Guineas and AJC Derby, liked Gaze On last start especially last 200m, really motored to the line will get the distance and has Beadman aboard, overlook Cincinnati Gal's last start wasn't suited at Doomben, start before that at Eagle Farm flew home only beaten 1.5 lengths behind Saxon.

Race 5:

Testifiable is the pick in a very hard race, numerous chances but he will be suited by the track and distance, last start finished well last 100m and didn't seem suited by the Slow track either which made the run even better, Foolish can't be ignored, interesting its only failure was at its only start at the track, of course can't overlook Virage De Fortune, just think the pace might be on in this race plus the 1400m could be a query, still 4 or 5 realistic chances after those 3 however.

Race 6:

Think this race unlike the Roses will be a slower run race and will suit Ponte Piccolo, only beaten out of a place once and that was a 3 length 5th behind Dizelle in the AJC Oaks, should get the run of the race, Aqua D'Amore ran a good race against the males last start and was disadvantaged by the speed in the Roses, distance the only query, didn't mind Hveger's last 2 runs in Adelaide, might be value, and Tick By could be the knockout horse at odds, going to overlook Vitesse Dane and Cinque Cento, both were advantaged by a quick pace up front in the Roses which might flatter the runs a little bit to the eye, although Vitesse Dane might be a bit closer to the speed from barrier 3.

Race 7:

Beautiful Gem is my bet of the day at Eagle Farm, ultra consistent mare racing and superb form, can see her getting a good run in about 4th or 5th and having the last shot at All Bar One, of course he will lead from barrier 1 and will prove very hard to run down with 51kg, think Beautiful Gem is more suited on Eagle Farm then All Bar One, Dezigna might get home late for 3rd.

Race 8:

Another match race like race 7 between Pacific Dancer and Zingam, both on the cup trail, leaning Pacific Dancer's way for no particular reason, almost a flip of the coin job, race is always a great guide for the cup, think Raw Instinct can run a race here, should have finished closer in the Doomben Cup, not bad form for this race, Regal Punch always runs a great race, worried about the barriers with Natural Blitz and Platinum Scisscors, not sure where they will end up during the race.

Best Bet - Beautiful Gem.

Value - Sharp Aunty.
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  #6  
Old 4th June 2005, 06:24 AM
Privateer Privateer is offline
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Tick By

Platinum Scissors

Suggested 1w 3p ratio.
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  #7  
Old 4th June 2005, 09:48 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile BARRIER 20

Not with my money.
Cheers.
darky.
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  #8  
Old 4th June 2005, 11:14 AM
Privateer Privateer is offline
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Whether Platinum Scissors races well or not, dismissing the horse based ONLY on the barrier it has drawn shows a real lack of understanding of racing statistics and analysis.

Incidentally, it was good of you to point that out as I'm sure it took a great deal of judgement and analytical skill to point out that the horse had barrier 20 and us blessed with less intelligence would surely have missed it.
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  #9  
Old 4th June 2005, 12:26 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile PRIVATEER

Only too pleased to help.
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  #10  
Old 4th June 2005, 05:23 PM
Tubby Tubby is offline
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Chuck,
I laughed this morning when I saw your "easily" next to vitesse dane. Last laugh to you though. I hope you backed it. Great tip.
Tubby
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