Noticed in the past the quickest heat winner has a very good strike rate in winning the final at Victorian greyhound tracks anyway. Might be worth following when I have some time I'll run a spreadsheet for a couple of months.

Sounds good, thanks!

you would have gotten the money tonight 3/4 winners with one paying..over $10 for the fastest qualifier

Winners box draw heat / final would be interesting to know as well

Moeee did you check out my strike rate thread on the other site -

Question I asked was ; What is the strike rate of the quickest heat winner winning the Final ? Information I have started from the two Horsham finals last Tuesday (Victoria only no heats,semis, finals) just straight heats/final ; I'll open a thread and keep it up to date. In the future it might need adjusting quickest heat winner same box in final, maybe a track will show bigger % of winners, or quickest winner would have to be a certain say 4 lengths quickest than second quickest. Or a certain fixed odds of $2.50 - $3 and above..I dunno!

At the moment I'll continue with results below, and see if it is worth going ahead with.


11.6.2013 Tuesday Horsham ;
27.50 480 m Race 2 Maiden Final 4.Crackerjack Babe - result 1st $2.70 $1.70
32.79 570 m Race 8 Gr5 final 4.Derby Ghost - result 1st $2.70 $1.10

13.6.2013 Thursday Sandown ;
29.64 515 m Race 4 Gr5 final 8.Quick Succession 3rd $1.30

14.6.2013 Friday Geelong ;
22.53 390 m Race 6 Gr5 final 7.Sweet Millions 2nd $1.04

15.6.2013 Saturday The Meadows ;
34.53 600 m Race 1 Maiden final 6.Lucy Wires 2nd $1.04
29.97 525 m Race 7 Gr5 final 3.Speed Series Unplaced

16.6.2013 Sunday Sale ;
24.95 440 m Race 6 RWF 6.Crawf's Bread 1st $3.70 $1.60

17.6.2013 Monday Cranbourne ;
30.59 520 m Race 2 Mdn final 4.Burnley Fox 1st $2.00 $1.40

17.6.2013 Monday Shepparton ;
25.46 450 m Race 6 RWF 8.Coup De Main 1st $5.40 $1.30

18.6.2013 Tuesday Warragul ;
22.91 400 m Race 3 Mdn final 6.Amaroo Cruise (unplaced fell)

19.6.2013 Wednesday Ballarat ;
31.63 545 m Race 4 Mdn final 8.Fog Of War 2nd $1.30
22.20 390 m Race 5 Gr5 final 1.Dr. Thanos 2nd $1.60

mickassassin
AGF Syndicate Member

Jun 18, 2013 at 5:26pm Quote

20.6.2013 Thursday Sandown ;
42.20 715 m Race 3 Gr5 final 3.Aeroplane Eddie 2nd $1.04
29.89 515 m Race 4 RWFinal 4.Soho Rhythm 2nd $1.30
34.61 595 m Race 6 Gr5 final 6.Allen Orville 2nd $2.80


21.6.2013 Friday Traralgon ;
29.87 513 m Race 4 Mdn final 6.Rag Trade scratched
30.12 513 m Race 7 Gr5 final 8.Double Gin scratched
29.25 513 m Race 8 Traralgon Cup 5.Paw Licking 1st $2.00 $1.10
16.89 298 m Race 9 Gr5 final 5.Dr. Ezechiel 1st $2.30 $1.30

22.6.2013 Saturday The Meadows ;
35.31 600 m Race 3 Gr5 final 8.Jackie Bale scratched

23.6.2013 Sunday Healesville ;
19.40 350 m Race 4 Vet final 6.Northern Trouble 3rd $1.20
19.49 350 m Race 6 RWFinal 7.Monaleen Flyer unplaced

23.6.2013 Sunday Sale ;
25.65 440 m Race 1 Mdn Final 7.Talenroy unplaced
25.16 440 m Race 5 S/E Final 4.Chloe Keats unplaced
29.91 520 m Race 6 Gr5 Final 2.Daintree Dynasty 1st $3.70 $1.10

24.6.2013 Monday Shepparton ;
25.59 450 m Race 1 Mdn Final 1.Delta Bolt 3rd $1.20

25.6.2013 Tuesday Horsham ;
23.21 410 m Race 6 Gr5 Final 7.Flaming Diva unplaced

26.6.2013 Wednesday Ballarat ;
25.75 450 m Race 1 Mdn Final 3.Inventor 1st $2.60 $1.30

27.6.2013 Thursday Sandown Park ;
34.50 595 m Race 1 Mdn Final 1.Burnt Bridges unplaced

28.6.2013 Friday Bendigo ;
28.58 500 m Race 1 Mdn Final 4.Jazomax 1st $3.70 $1.30
24.20 425 m Race 3 Gr5 Final 6.Plenty To Prove unplaced

28.6.2013 Friday Geelong ;
25.99 460 m Race 6 Mdn Final 4.Ireland's Oyster 1st $3.60 $1.04
25.99 460 m Race 6 Mdn Final 6.Cairnlea scratched

29.6.2013 Saturday The Meadows ;
28.24 500 m Race 5 S/E Bendigo to Meadows Final 6.Al Moran unplaced
42.68 725 m Race 6 Gr5 Final 1.Dashing Red 2nd $1.04
30.18 525 m Race 9 Gr5 Final 7.Under Threat unplaced


3.7.2013 Wednesday Ballarat ;
22.31 390 m Race 6 Gr5 Final 5.Maelee's Miracle scratched

Thursday 4.7.2013 Warnambool ;
22.28 390 m Mdn Final 4.Myalla S******** unplaced

Thursday 4.7.2013 Sandown Park
29.47 515 m Gr5 Final Race 6 6.Black Magic Opal unplaced

Saturday 6.7.2013 Traralgon ;
30.18 513 m Mdn Final Race 1 5.Grace The Ace unplaced
29.59 513 m Gr5 Final Race 6 4.Dr. Thanos 1st $2.60 $1.30

Saturday 6.7.2013 The Meadows ;
30.06 525 m Gr5 Final Race 6 7.Limburg Fear unplaced

Sunday 7.7.2013 Sale ;
24.84 440 m Gr5 Final Race 6 5.Magic Mantra 2nd $1.20

Tuesday 9.7.2013 Horsham ;
23.35 410 m Gr5 Final Race 6 5.Max Rocks 2nd $2.00

Tuesday 9.7.2013 Warragul ;
22.81 400 m Gr5 Final Race. 6 6.Daven Bale 3rd $1.80

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Ballarat ;
22.56 390 m MdnQ Final Race 1 6.Perfect Flash 1st $15.70 $3.00

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Ballarat ;
22.96 390 m MdnQ Final Race 2 6.Beard Of Zeus unplaced

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Ballarat ;
25.72 450 m MdnQ Final Race 3 3.Looming Large unplaced

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Ballarat ;
25.74 450 m Gr5 Final Race 6 2.Mister Sunraysia 1st $12.80 $3.30

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Cranbourne ;
17.94 311 m MdnQ Final Race 1 8.Twisted Kaos 1st $2.00 $1.60

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Cranbourne ;
18.32 311 m MdnQ Final Race 2 1.Princess Scrappy 3rd $1.80

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Cranbourne ;
30.50 520 m RWFinal Race 5 7.Altolite 1st $2.10 $1.10

Wednesday 10.7.2013 Cranbourne ;
30.66 520 m Mdn Final Race 6 7.Watta Good Dee unplaced

Thursday 11.7.2013 Sandown ;
29.60 515 m Gr5 Final Race 3 3.Under Threat 1st $4.10 $1.80


Thursday 11.7.2013 Sandown ;
34.13 595 m McKenna Memorial Final Race 8 5.Proven Impala 1st $3.30 $1.90

Friday 12.7.2013 Bendigo ;
24.05 425 m Mdn Final Race 1 5.Blue Vapouriser unplaced

Friday 12.7.2013 Geelong ;
26.21 460 m Mdn Final Race 1 2.Whodat Knockin' 2nd $1.04

15.7.2013 Shepparton ;
25.10 450 m Gr5 Final Race 6 3.Nolen 1st $1.30 $1.04

16.7.2013 Horsham ;
27.30 450 m Mdn Final Race 1 5.Cosmic Wise 1st $1.80 $1.04

18.7.2013 Sandown ;
34.85 595 m Nov Final Race 1 5. Flashing Bessy unplaced

18.7.2013 Sandown ;
Geelong to Sandown Final
29.79 520 m Geelong Gr5 Final 2.Our Tommy 1st $1.70 $1.10

20.7.2013 Traralgon ;
29.96 513 m Mdn Final Race 1 5.Sonic Pirate 2nd $1.04

20.7.2013 The Meadows ;
34.65 600 m Gr5 Final Race 1 2.Ema's Princess 1st $2.40 $1.10

21.7.2013 Healesville ;
16.85 300 m Mdn Final Race 1 5.Dr. Mel unplaced

21.7.2013 Sale;
25.44 440 m Mdn QFinal Race 1 3.Swansea Sands 1st $3.30 $1.60

22.7.2013 Shepparton ;
25.88 450 m Mdn Final Race 1 6.Dyna Deeksey 1st $7.30 $2.20

23.7.2013 Horsham ;
26.98 480 m Gr5 Final Race 6 5.Claretown Westy

23.7.2013 Warragul ;
25.97 460 m VBIS Mdn Final Race 6 7.Hillbilly Flash

9.1.2014 R1 # 3 Warnambool 1st $3.70 $1.50
9.1.2014 R5 # 5 Warnambool 2nd $2.40
9.1.2014 R6 # 7 Warnambool unplaced 8th
9.1.2014 R7 # 5 Warnambool unplaced 8th
9.1.2014 R1 # 6 Traralgon 1st $2.60 $1.04
9.1.2014 R6 # 8 Traralgon 1st $1.60 $1.04
9.1.2014 R3 # 1 Sandown unplaced 4th
9.1.2014 R5 # 2 Sandown 1st $3.30 $1.50
9.1.2014 R6 # 6 Sandown 3rd $2.40
9.1.2014 R8 # 8 Sandown 1st $3.90 $1.70
10.1.2014 R1 # 6 Geelong scratched
11.1.2014 R4 # 4 Meadows unplaced 4th
11.1.2014 R6 # 3 Meadows 2nd $1.60
12.1.2014 R2 # 7 Healesville 2nd $1.30
12.1.2014 R6 # 4 Healesville 3rd $1.80
12.1.2014 R8 # 4 Healesville unplaced 7th
12.1.2014 R2 # 3 Sale unplaced 5th
12.1.2014 R8 # 4 Sale scratched

As you can see I've tried this system a couple of times before, but havn't followed through long term.

In the future it might need adjusting quickest heat winner same box in final, maybe a track will show bigger % of winners, or quickest winner would have to be a certain say 4 lengths quickest than second quickest. Or a certain fixed odds of $2.50 - $3 and above..I dunno!

Very open to suggestions!!!

At the moment I'll continue with results below, and see if it is worth going ahead with.

Good stuff springjoker, thanks
Moeee is no longer active here, at least under that login-id

25.1.2014 The Meadows ;
29.93 (8) Gr5 final R6 # 5 Rozehill Sanya

25.1.2014 The Meadows ;
34.45 (8) Gr5 final R9 # 1 Quell Bale

25.1.2014 Bendigo ;
28.02 (1) Gr5 final R8 # 7 Deadly Boy

26.1.2014 Sale ;
25.30 (2) Mdn Q/final R1 # 5 Boeing

26.1.2014 Sale ;
25.69 (6) Mdn Q/final R2 # 3 Time To Embrace

26.1.2014 Sale ;
25.01 (2) Gr5 final R5 # 8 Nico Bale

26.1.2014 Sale ;
25.11 (1) Gr5 Q/final R7 # 7 Undercover Girl

27.1.2014 Shepparton ;
25.87 (1) Mdn final R3 # 7 Glitch

28.1.2014 Horsham ;
27.28 (7) Gr5 final R6 # 4 Carol Beer

29.1.2014 Ballarat ;
22.18 (5) Mdn final R2 # 1 Agility

Yeah I know he told me he was a banned member. It was a copy and paste I did from another thread from another website. Just didn't cut it enough lol. Still chat to old captain grumpy moeee on the agf greyhound forum.

25.1.2014 The Meadows ; Unplaced 5th $3.10F
29.93 (8) Gr5 final R6 # 5 Rozehill Sanya

25.1.2014 The Meadows ; 1st $1.30 $1.04
34.45 (8) Gr5 final R9 # 1 Quell Bale

25.1.2014 Bendigo ; 3rd $1.20 was $2.30F
28.02 (1) Gr5 final R8 # 7 Deadly Boy

26.1.2014 Sale ; 1st $10.70 $2.80
25.30 (2) Mdn Q/final R1 # 5 Boeing

26.1.2014 Sale ; Unplaced
25.69 (6) Mdn Q/final R2 # 3 Time To Embrace

26.1.2014 Sale ; Unplaced 4th
25.01 (2) Gr5 final R5 # 8 Nico Bale

26.1.2014 Sale ; Unplaced
25.11 (1) Gr5 Q/final R7 # 7 Undercover Girl

27.1.2014 Shepparton ;
25.87 (1) Mdn final R3 # 7 Glitch

28.1.2014 Horsham ;
27.28 (7) Gr5 final R6 # 4 Carol Beer

29.1.2014 Ballarat ;
22.18 (5) Mdn final R2 # 1 Agility