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#1
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Doomben Races Saturday
Race 1.
Looks a race between Abu Simbel and Tsiolas..,,i thought with the likely tempo being fairly slow that Tsoilas could sprint better than Abu ...Danefull will give aot of cheek up front if he can dictate..but Tsiolas looks good .. Race 2 Alot of talk about Power Hunt here..,he's a funny horse to ride,,he does alot wrong and he's first up ..He's a giant horse and when he gets wound up he can really fly...i thought he might be vulnerable so i'm taking him on.. I'm going to look for value and think General Sam might be worth an e/w,,was a very good run first up and he gets to a more suiatble distance with a bit more improvement in him... Race 3 Not really interested ..Emit time wasnt all that convincing last start but neither were anything else....maybe Magique Mine who looked ok last start might be worth a go ...cant see any value so i'll probably watch this one.. Race 4 Star of Canada,,just a speed machine..trialed well and looks to speedy for them....Yubi who should take the sit might be some nuisance value.. Race 5 Fairy Moth .gets to the right distance .has been running on well and just needs a fair crack at them in the straight.. also like Veerod , Perette and Chambers Secret all at odds... this isnt an easy race,,so i'll be backing a few at the juicy odds.. good trifecta race this one... Race 6 Lachlan river looks to good...if he's going to be a serious contender down south he should be winning this..and winning this fairly easily...But dont underestimate Rue the Saint in your excotics..hes dropping down in distance here but he looks real good and should of tested Devastating last start.. Race 7 Messian reall stuck on well last start..will strip fitter and be right in this..Umatrick with the freshen will give this a shake at odds..he looked flat last start but always races better fresh.. Race 8 I like Shady henrietta ..should get the gun run behind canadian Shuffle ..thought Written by Xaar also will be right in this,,run off her feet last time but the extra distance will suit her..Looks like i'm backing the southerners ..go the blues looks a fairly easy day at Doomben (which worries me ) Tsoilas, Lachlan river , Messian and Star of Canada look to good ..but there might not be much value in them..but a winners a winner Good Luck all |
#2
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Other state selections..still refining some races but i'm looking at these..
Sydney *Evaparized, *Paper Blonde, *Media, *Dizelle /*Mahtoum, *Ikes Dream Melbourne *Caprizzi Strip, *Niconero / *Tall Timbers, *Written tycoon, *Merlot Now / *Wildly/ *Bomber Bill, *Sparkling Now / *Diamon Hailey / *Emlozza (alot depends on the state of the track here tomorrow) Adelaide *Loutonne, *Zip Zip Aray Newcastle *Crique, *Regrade, *Intadane Wagga *Strategic Plan Gold Coast *Vetories Image / *Agrios Belmont *Maximus Munius alot of selections..track conditions scratchings and price will cull a few.. melbourne looks hard ,,will be very wary around there.. |
#3
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Mav,
Mnemosyne,Lotteria- no good,too short?
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be nice it's easy |
#4
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Hi Boxy .. thought Media with the weight turnaround looks good.,,speed in the race should suit..
Dont know about ikes Dream,,i was impressed with last run but if you really look at it with the speed that was upfront the backmarkers should of made ground in that race.. i just thought at randwick with the long straight that Beadman could either stalk Lotteria or track the other backmarkers Danni Martine and Shanie dane into it..Beadman is the deciding factor here ..but this also usually means the value is gone..i'm not a fan of Lenny Beasely so i swayed Ikes way..but i'll want good odds to take on the Big mare... |
#5
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[QUOTE=maverick1993]Race 1.
Race 5 Fairy Moth .gets to the right distance .has been running on well and just needs a fair crack at them in the straight.. also like Veerod , Perette and Chambers Secret all at odds... this isnt an easy race,,so i'll be backing a few at the juicy odds.. good trifecta race this one... Should be Fairy's Kisses ..sorry ..go wide here anything could win this race..Macy Dee with probably the cheap lead will give a good sight out front.. really warming to Veerod at odds Confident about Lachlan River even though the push is for umaprince...Messian , Star of Canada (wont take anything to short) Written by Xaar General Sam ,Unite n Prosper all look good today.. Still happy to take on Power Hunt even though every man and his dog wants to back it..thought even Tom Kitten was a better bet.. Happy with the Nows in melbourne and good old Bomber if the tyrack isnt to choppy , Niconero and Written tycoon aswell. Mahtoum to test Dizzele, Ikes Dream to chase home the big mare (6's ?) Paper Blonde , Like Loutonne and watch for old Zip Zip running home well in Adelaide.. Looks a great day for trifectas . good luck all |
#6
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I am pretty much on the same line of thinking with you mav on most races. I am not too sure about Written By Czar though.
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#7
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Entitled to do alittle more last start but did work to the line well,,,.She'll run a strong 1200m where alot of these won't and don't .. Star of Asia is the main one i'm worried about but i dont think theres alot of speed here..she'll be storming home with Rejuvente Lass but Written by Xaar might have the break on them because she'll be more prominant..
Cha Cha Damour hit the line really well last start..but her strikerate sucks a bit..but Bobby knows the horse and mares usually hold form well .. will be concentrating betting around these 3 .. In Adelaide ,Presenting and Pluvious both look good but im not sure of the value .. |
#8
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Quote:
Obviously no need to worry Mav. Looks like you might have cleaned up.
__________________
Ever get the feeling that the world is a tuxedo and you are a pair of brown shoes? |
#9
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Sumary
Thanks tubby...got lucky today
Race 1 Tsoilas hung out on the turn ..didnt look like he was travelling all that well anyway....loss to start the day. Race 2 Backed Unite n Prosper and General Sam here..even result ..missed the tri .. Race 3 No bet never confident ..good race to watch.. Race 4 Star of Canada..to good..nice trifecta a few times...Great result Race 5. Another good result..the Trifecta was huge here..Fairy Kisses got the dream run and got better odds than expected.. Had win bets on Veerod and Cambers Of Secret who did nothing..could of been a better result but the tri made up for it. Race 6 Huge result here..my biggest bet of the day ..Happy days Lachlan has to be considered when he heads down south,, Race 7. The good old boy Consular was to good for my Mesian here..a loss for me personally ..but the "merlot Now Tipping Club"were always on him so it worked out ok in the end..handy 1st 4 .. Race 8. Another great result here..easy tri and 1st4 ...great way to finish the day in Brissie.. Huge day in Brissie ..massive profit .. Sydney Shocker ,,bets on Paper Blonde, Evaparized e/w, Ikes Dream and Mahtoum e/w....not a thing here ?? Melbourne Caprizzi Strip was a good result here..nice place divie ..thought i had it coming down the straight..Losses on niconero, Written tycoon the Nows and Emlozza..win with Wildy made it an even day here in melbourne.. only got the one tri ..but it was a nice one.. Adelaide Great odds about Loutonne gave some of it back on Zip Zip but still a nice profit in Adelaide .. Newcastle Win with Crique loss with Regrade ,,a nice profit here.. Gold Coast Loss on Vettories Image.. Belmont Loss on Maximus Munius Wagga Win with Strategic Plan.. In summary a great day today...one of my best .. drinks are on me |
#10
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Quote:
Emlozza scratched .. made it alittle better in Melbourne Written tycoon ..just watched the video ,,the horse was doing flying changes all the way down the straight..poor thing didnt know what leg to be on.. i'd discount the run .. what a day in Melbourne which is still the hardest place in Oz to make a profit... This is the only state in Oz that i show a loss ..i was hoping this spring i could change that ...chipped a bit off yesterday but if results are going to be like it was ..i might be better off throwing darts,, |
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