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#1
20th September 2005, 02:20 PM
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Laying Older Handicappers
In any 4YO+ handicap races, lay the pre-post favourite unless it won its last race.
Where there are equal pre-post favourites there is no bet regardless of whether any of them won last time out.
System applies to flat races only.
The recommended staking plan is that you lay at the pre-post price to a liability of one point for every consecutive race the selection has lost.
For example, if the pre-post favourite is 5/2 and is on a losing run of 20 then the potential gain is 8 points (20 divided by 2.5) and the potential liability is 20 points.
The website http://www.cdsystems.uk.com/ comments: "The most unreliable type of race for favourite backers is a handicap for older horses. These runners often struggle to maintain a consistent level of form and are unlikely to be on the upgrade. They are often struggling on handicap marks which, because of earlier career successes, are too high for them.
"The longer the losing sequence a horse is on the more difficult it tends to be for its trainer to find a winning opportunity, especially if a string of placed efforts means that the handicapper hasn't relinquished his grip. Potential liabilities are therefore in line with the horse's current losing sequence."
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#2
29th September 2005, 10:21 AM
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6/8/2005
Caulfield Race 3: Golden Delicious (LS 5; PP $2.80; bet $2.77) LOST Race 8: Delicate Snip (LS 1; PP $5.00; bet $0.25) LOST 27/8/2005 Caulfield Race 1: Amber Shimmer (LS 11; PP $4.00; bet $3.66) WON $5.00 Morphettville Race 4: Akiva (LS 15; PP $3.80; bet $5.35) LOST 3/9/2005 Randwick Race 3: Fantasia (LS 4; PP $2.50; bet $2.66) LOST Race 8: Swick (LS 3; PP $2.80; bet $1.66) LOST Doomben Race 5: Your Lion Eyes (LS 6; PP $3.50; bet $2.40) LOST 10/9/2005 Moonee Valley Race 2: Susie Michelle (LS 1; PP $5.00; bet $0.25) LOST Victoria Park Race 4: Susie Mine (LS 4; PP $3.60; bet $1.11) WON $5.00 17/9/2005 Caulfield Race 2: Cocinero (LS 1; PP $3.00; bet $0.50) LOST Morphettville Race 7: Absolute Heaven (LS 2; PP $3.20; bet $0.90) WON $3.00 Outlay: $21.51 P/L: -$5.04 (-23.43%)
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#4
30th September 2005, 07:43 AM
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winning system
Results as posted by Glendo thus far:
Races 11 WIN 3 SR% 27% P/L +2 units PoT 18% Congratulations Glendo, you've actually posted a winning system on this Forum - a feat that has eluded the many for a long, long time. Well done!! ...............
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#5
3rd October 2005, 12:11 PM
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Quote:
The results you gave were at level stakes when the horse was backed, not layed.
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#6
10th October 2005, 01:00 PM
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1/10/2005
Flemington Race 4: Refute (losing sequence 3; pre-post price $3.50; stake to lay $1.20) LOST Race 10: Niconero (losing sequence 2; pre-post price $3.50; stake to lay $0.80) LOST 8/10/2005 Caulfield Race 9: Crimson Reign (losing sequence 6; pre-post price $3.00; stake to lay $3.00) WON $4.80 Total stake: $26.52 P/L: -$14.43 (-54.41%)
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#7
10th October 2005, 03:07 PM
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UPDATED RESULTS
Races 14
WIN 4 SR% 28.5% P/L +3.8 units PoT 27% This is shaping up as the best and most profitable of all systems ever posted to these Forums!! Keep going Glendo - this is a breath of fresh air. ................
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