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Doomben Races Saturday
I've done my ratings on a slow track..doomben can be a super drying track though and it wouldnt surprise me that it ends up being dead so i've looked at both scenarios.
Race 1. My Best Tycoon won very well last start and takes on an easier field here..time was good and only goes up 1/2 a kilo,,,not sure in the wet though..but did win on a dead track at the S/C and that would be almost slow anywhere else.... i dont mind Monte Cavallo whos proven in the wet and in real good form..should be peaking now and will make his own luck out front..beat some handy types last start including A Sir La who won for us on Wed.. will concentrate on these 2. Race 2. liked Winaura's run last start..came from way back..looks to have ability but if its to wet ..might be better off grabbing a beer. Race 3. Rashini has been up and down in the past but i liked his run last start..thought La Montagna with wet track form a maybe if the track is suits. another sit back and watch race here unless i see some value around these 2. Race 4. Special Langfur should lead here and that suits little Miss Mason..problem is everone knows this and he'll be unders.. Bellargo looks to be improving with every run this prep should be peaking ..fantastic win last time in a lower grade ,,pushed Red Pill to the limit before that....inconclusive in the wet..but the breed doesnt mind it..worth an e/w me thinks with the gun jock on board... other chances to Minoa and Tackman. Race 5. I didn't like this race and didnt even rate it..very open ..might have an e/w on Stars n Gold who likes the wet and raced well last start,,not sure of the hype around Rural ..but theres not much in this race so punters will be looking for the improving type.. Race 6. if the track isnt to wet i really like Levante..should lead and be hard to catch with that weight..the class runner here.. if its wet Black Suit..very good winner for us 2 starts back and worked well last start out wide.likes the wet and the wide barrier might not be a bad thing this time of day if its real choppy... will be looking at these 2. Race 7. What a race..have Messian. Prosecution, Champion Star, and Succeeding all in my stable.. In the wet Prosecution looks good..this horse has taken that next step and will be hard to beat in anything this prep.. Messian will lead and be hard to catch but a no in the wet... Champion Star is real good 1st up..not sure if its wet ??risky ,, did beat Chesterman and Panzer in a recent barrier trial.. Succeeding .super super run last start but will be giving some of these to much start..likes the wet though so keep safe.. looks like Prosecution.. Race 8. Radar Orielly...,might be a risk in the wet but looks real good this prep..his 2 runs have been impressive..cant tip against him.. thought Stipend might be a good e/w..great run last start but is a bit inconsistent...good strong jock on board though which should make a difference.. Not an easy day in Brissie..my best Prosecution, Bellargo and Black Suit (wet) Good Luck all |
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