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#1
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Eagle Farm Saturday
Looking at a heavy or at the least a very slow track tomorrow so its a day to be very wary .
Race 1. Good example is in this race,,no real rain affected form to go on.. I was very impressed with Mel so if you need to have a bet he'd be they way to go...MM bound this horse .. Race 2. As you guys would know i've been on Seven Crownies of late..and he has a big chance here...i must admit i wasnt all that impressed last start...it was a very easy race and he seemed to have to work hard.. a video special in this race is Czarboy ..last run in the open was better than Seven Crownies run...has wet track form but the barrier is a little worry..Skyleda with the wet track is in this aswell.. If theres value around for Czarboy i'll be on e/w ...there will be alot of support for Seven crownies so i should get a price.. Maybe a good exacta there.. Skyleda and King Cartier for the tri. Race 3. Hello Possums ..gets the inside barrier no weight and last run was huge..up in class here though but the wet track evens things out.. Im a fan of Willy Lieca but i think hes been set for something later ..he might be needing this run..and i dont think he'll get the right tempo in this race...best to be near the front i'm guessing and i hope Hello possums takes advantage of the inside.. High Academy and Party express around there somewhere and if your after a Muddy Listen Pal just loves it... SHould get nice e/w's about Hello Possums.. I wonder if Prends can sneak in the field hey Sportz ?? Race 4. Tuff race this one..All the fancies have drawn out ...La Montagna has wet track form and atleast has the good barrier..I'm going for class here though..Vitruvian has it in bucketloads..hopefully gets a trail and i dont think drawing out will be all that bad ..wet track ??? just not sure.. Strawbery Malt , Bold reason , Socialist all good chances..even Kids Show isnt out of it.. HArd race and would want value to consider it.. Race 5. Was on Desktop MAgic last start and it was a huge run..no reason to jump off here...thought Denises Diamonds could give cheek in this aswell but Desktop has the some wet form and will do me.. the toppy is right in this aswell... will work tris around these 3.. Race 6. Persuades...good barrier good jock,,great last run likes the track , distance, conditions..gets alot of ticks.. Happier of course the danger..and Ally Bee grows an extra leg in the wet.. Race 7. Succeeding ?? hopefully runs in this ...and ridden quietly ...i should get a nice price as they'll come for Hissy and Gordo... Generalisimo loves the wet and Video hits is ready now to show something.. Succeeding is a promising horse but needs luck..will see how the backmarkers are traveliing in earlier races to give me some confidence.. Race 8. I'm a fan of Fleet Baron and looks well placed here....noticed JB has switched from the toppy to ride him... Kutalo should lead and will give a good sight..likes the wet to.. King latarmiss the muddy.. Fleet Baron needs some luck from the back but Jb is in such good form ,,, can't see any value though,,so it might be a sit and watch race.. Not an easy day but i'm confident on a few... Good Luck all |
#2
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Other selections
Sandown *Whitier Miss, *Lucky Diva Sydney *Piculet, *Intermoo, *Wasimah, *Hipster Doofus, *Genghis Khan. Adelaide *Showdown Kid, *Giggling Gigs, *Umaquest, *Taos Pleasure Toowoomba *Rauties Warrior Gold Coast *Marzipan Saga, *Divine Etiole Ascot *Daka's Gem, *Covertly, *Sportivo Have alot of runners tomorrow as this is my last day for awhile ,, I'm having a break ,,just been burning myself out of late .. I'm supersticous so while i've been winning i havent wanted to stop ,will still watch the videos but will leave ratings alone.. Going to the track and having a big one. hopefully going out with glory.. Feel confident tomorrow ...always a bad sign Good Luck all |
#3
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G'day Mav,
It does look a tough day tomorrow, but we'll see how we go (hopefully the fields don't get cut down too much from scratchings)... Race 1 - Injebreck might be able to improve on the heavy going tomorrow with a few runs under his belt. Time Lion has been running OK in Toowoomba, this is the test though. Mel won well last time, but i just don't like short priced favs in 2yo races . Race 2 - Minoa can run OK here i think. Has won on wet before, and though i don't know the reason for his apparent failure last time, i'm willing to accept that it was an aberation. His best form appears up to these without a doubt. Skyleda has good heavy form and his last run was pretty good for a race like this. Seven Crownies is a show, but i don't fancy the jockey from the awkward alley. Race 3 - All i can say is i hope a couple of these emergencies gain starts (Milady Clang and Prend). Because without them (particularly Prend) i think Willy Leica has one foot on the prize. With adequate speed, hes is just better than these and i think he should win. High Academy is a nice horse and is clearly my second pick with some good form here during the winter months. Pride of Paris will be the speed i imagine and he can stick on well when he wants to. Prend a big chance if he gains a start. Race 4 - Guessing game here. All i can do is go with the one i think could win on good going, and hope . Bold Reason has something of a boom on him and after the first up run i think he can nearly get away with this. Although he has the bad alley, he'll go forward and should prove tough to stop. La Montagna is a big chance with the wet form and the good run 2 back at Doomben. Magique Mine has shown ability in his runs to date and can definately figure tomorrow with some luck. Race 5 - Shocking race. Gazzam has wet form and can produce a good finish now and then. There should be some good speed here, and he might be able to make the most of it. Late For Tea has drawn the carpark, but has got plenty of ability and if he can get in, he'll be right there. Dance Sally Dance will appreciate the drop in class here, after running behind Helter Skelter in the last 2 runs. Race 6 - A Little Naughty is the way i've gone here. With some OK runs first and second up, and some good form on wet tracks, she'll do me fine. Behind what looks to be a hot speed, i think she'll be up there getting a nice run, and can finish over the top of them. Shysu is never far from the action and will certainly figure again tomorrow. Persuades being in the race is a worry because both of them like to run along out in front. Happier was a big effort to win last time, but the weight might prove difficult against some of these better mares. Race 7 - With Planagram engaged, there should be enough speed for any horse to win. For that reason, i've settled on Templin. Will get a fair way back, but the wet track shouldn't worry and the distance should be exactly what he's looking for after some good runs recently. Hissy Fit is in great form and can certainly go on with it here, after Byrne has stuck and has the rails draw. Prosecution is as honest as they come and will have derived benefit from the last run, and can go one better tomorrow with an ounce of luck. Race 8 - Appertain. I think he can go close tomorrow. Good wet form, has had a run or 2 recently for fitness. Can lead from the good alley, and showed a few months back that he was up to city class. Fleet Baron tends to run on without winning, but you can't leave him out totally. Stars o' Gold has been in good form without winning lately, but that can change tomorrow from the good alley. On what is seemingly a pretty hard day, my best are Bold Reason and Templin with a good rough chance to Appertain. Good luck all Sven |
#4
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Quote:
Yeah, doubt it, but worth a little bet if she does. Been good to us. |
#5
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Replacement -
Race 4 - Strawberry Malt in for Bold Reason. Not much speed on paper here, will play into Strawberry's hands. Good luck, Sven |
#6
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I have actually managed to get online this morning which is a miracle in itself my head feels like t has been hit with an axe was drinking and playing Poker until about 4 this morning but here are my really quick tips for the day
Race 1: No Thanks Race 2: Didn't mind Know a Lady E/W in this. Race 3: I like Listen Pal here E/W loves the wet and off memory has run ok fresh in the past. Race 4: Thought Magique Mine might be worth a bit E/W again track conditions would suit I think. Race 5: Pass Race 6: Love and Money has been in good form and even at SWP I think she has to be given a big chance in this the fact Colless is onboard doesn't hurt either. Race 7: Motivate E/W again looks to be a pretty good chance here 3rd run back and the wet conditions will not hurt either. Race 8: Pass My other bets will be Avenida Madero and True Steel in Perth and Spuruson in Sydney with a bit of luck could be a good day for me. |
#7
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RACE 1: MEL
RACE 2: ROYAL REFORM RACE 3: HELLO POSSUMS RACE 4: STRAWBERRY MALT RACE 5: DENISE'S DIAMONDS RACE 6: LOVE AND MONEY RACE 7: MOTIVATE RACE 8: APPERTAIN GOOD LUCK TODAY... |
#8
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For Eagle Farm, I only like Strawberry Malt and Love and Money, but considering neither have even placed on a wet track, I'll probably leave them alone for today.
Good luck today everyone!
__________________
...time held me green and dying, though I sang in my chains like the sea. - Dylan Thomas |
#9
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Eagle Farm has been upgraded from Slow to Dead. I might have a go on Strawberry Malt and Love and Money after all.
__________________
...time held me green and dying, though I sang in my chains like the sea. - Dylan Thomas |
#10
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Quote:
I'd had a bit on this one at his previous two starts and decided to back up on him again today. Good result. He nearly threw it away though. |
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