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  #1  
Old 11th October 2007, 12:21 PM
jefff_12 jefff_12 is offline
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Default Caulfield Guineas Day

Fields are up the Saturdays racing. Looks like there are going to be a few short priced runners in the big ones.

One first look I think that Sonic Quest looks the one in race 2.I think he must win this if he is to live up the wraps that have been put on him.

Gold Edition must be a special in the Schillaci. The only problem being that you will have to take the $1.6 (thats for as long as that price lasts).

The Yulumba is pretty shallow. Miss Finland will be short, has already been bakced $1.6 into $1.55. I think she should win but the price is a bit short to back staight out for me.

Toorak looks an interesting race. I think i'll stick with Bon Hoffa here, he hsa been good to me so far. The obvious danger is Divine Madonna. She will be flying home and she gets in reasonably at the weights. One to watch for is Wonderful World, goes very well at the track and Bart will have her in top shape.

The Guineas, well what more can you say other that Weekend Hussler. Should win but you have to be prepared to step into the shorts.

I think the Winning Edge is the race for Master O'rilley to prove he is up to the cups. The worry here is the lack of pace and getting too far back. Don't think this will stop him though. The price again is the worry.

The best option for the day will be to have these shorties in multi bets. I will probably back gold edition straight out though, can't resist (have always loved this horse).

Will post more as I go through the form.

Post your thoughts on this meeting.


Jeff
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  #2  
Old 11th October 2007, 07:01 PM
rabbitz rabbitz is offline
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whats the rain gonna do..has it started and will the track be down graded
bon hoffa's trainer says she'll probably scratch if track rain affected $3.20 on fixed at mo
Divine $3.80
WW $6
What about the other shorties..What's MF like in the wet..Rubiscent goes well as does maldivian
GE doesn't mind it

These factors will be important as will resultant track bias..just look at Flemington last Sat
Cheers
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  #3  
Old 11th October 2007, 10:01 PM
jefff_12 jefff_12 is offline
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Only light rain so far tonight. Caulfield staff said their radar only showed light rain between now and Saturday while the BOM has forcast thunderstorms and hail tomorrow. So staff at Caulfield have irrigated teh track today applying 6mm. This could be very important if that forcast rain does come then I would say we would be racing on a slow track.
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  #4  
Old 12th October 2007, 01:28 PM
Real Deal Real Deal is offline
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i live within 10 mins of the course and can confirm it was 2 good solid downpours this morning.

Both bought about decent rainfall.

I would suspect a dead 5 or 6 to start day and upgrade if no more rain.

PS. Wonderful World lined my pockets last year-can he do it again?
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  #5  
Old 12th October 2007, 02:16 PM
jefff_12 jefff_12 is offline
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There was some solid rainfalls this morining. However as I speak there is now sunshine (has been for the past few hours), and also a nice drying breeze. It will depend on the rain over night.

Definetly think that Wonderful World is a good chance. Word is that he has been working well during the week. Goes well at Caulfield and Bart is sure to have him flying.

Incumbent looks too good in the first. All the others are desperetly out of form.

I am begining to think that Sonic Quest is one of the best on the program if not the best. Should do well if you multi up the first two selections.

If you are greedy like me combine these with Gold Edition. If you are even more greedy, like me, also consider adding into the multi Master O'Rielly. You may also like to consider Miss Finland for the multis however I don't think she is a good bet tomorrow. Although I am not brave enough to back against her she is at $1.60 and was beaten fair and square last start by Rubisent last start. There isnt alot of pace in this race so I think that Maldivian is a big show. If you can get closer to $4.5 it might be worth considering.

In the last we have your typical mares race (wide open). Only good thing about these races is that you can get a good price, that is if you can pick the winner. Laura's Charm goes well at the track and at the distance and Freedman is happy with her. If you are taking a quaddie make sure you take the field here.
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  #6  
Old 12th October 2007, 02:54 PM
crash crash is offline
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Thumbs up

Can't see a good track.

Weekend Hussler's price in the Guineas will be a joke considering his wins were in weak Hcp. races. Takes on some Group race toughies tomorrow like Husson Lightning and Shrewd Rhythm [Scenic Blast needs a paddock]. WH is certainly on the up and who knows, but at those odds?

Devine Madonna in the Toorak would be my bet but the horse hates the track. Bon Hoffa to get rolled by Niconero or Wonderful World.

Master O'reilly in the the 8th would be the lay of the day. It's looked good against joggers. Reggie, Dolphin Joe or Cancellelle will be all over it!

Last edited by crash : 12th October 2007 at 02:56 PM.
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  #7  
Old 12th October 2007, 05:37 PM
maverick1993 maverick1993 is offline
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I'm banking on Divine Madonna to break the hoodoo tomorrow,,,the smaller field helps her and she doesnt run badly at the track,,i also think Rodd would have worked her out by now,,,(personally i'd rather Dunn on board) shes well weighted and a big show..I've taken the 4.20 ,,and if she blows out from that i'll have some more,,

Master Orielly gets the speed in this race he needs,,heard that Tacit agreement horse will be bowling along up front to try and sneak into the money so he can start in the CC..
I think the horse is flying and a great MC chance,,,2.50 ias was nice overs i thought for tomorrow..
Cancanelle is another thats just flying without mmuch luck,,,distance ??? but at the 15's i'm having something on..

Sonic Quest is going along nicely but with this rain about i thought Amery king could race well ,,,gets some weight off Sonic tomorrow and the extra 200m will help aswell..i couldnt resist the 12's,,

Goldie should win this and easily..cant have her at 1.70 though,,to short for me..
i'm having alitle e/w on Reshuffles and maybe a exacta with these 2..

Miss Finland 1.80 on Betstar...nice overs i thought..i have her rated at 1.40,,,
she lost last time but it was still a massive run..she was racing the donkey on her inside and instead of just winning the race,,you can bet that wont happen again..i cant bring myself to back them this short though..

Weekend Hussler...look i cant find anything to beat him and i've tried my best...i know this horse has yet to prove himself but hes winning very nicely and running time..i thought Husson lightning's run last week was the run of the day but 1600m ?? Shrewd Rythm ?? Davcon ?? i'm of the belief that most of these are fairly even,,except for Weekend Hussler who looks like he could be a star ....i wont back him at those odds but ill be having a go at the massive 1st4 thats on offer instead...

I'm really confident about Lauras Charm tomorrow,,,shes a class act and at the 8's i think shes way way overs...loves the track n distance good jock trainer,barrier ,,won 1stup, proven group performer, ,,heaps of ticks,,


A few others i'm looking at tomorrow
Cheltam
Gandini, Arinos
Belmont
Field Commander
Grafton
Sircolo
Townsville
Dont tell tom


still some work to do tonight..but it looks a good day tomorrow,,
Good Luck all
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  #8  
Old 12th October 2007, 06:06 PM
Horse Whisperer Horse Whisperer is offline
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Loks like its going to be a great days racing tomorrow, but im probably not going to have many bets, the only one i think is a certainty is Gold Edition, and i thought $1.65 was excellent odds. I guess well find out tomorrow. I would definitely rather take the $1.65on g.e than the odds for weekend hussler or miss finland.
The Toork looks to be a great race, wonderful world looks the big improver, and Niconero will be in the top 3 with it. The rain has to help Dr NipandTuck, and you cant rule out Divine Madonna and Bon Hoffa. What a great race.
Ill have an e/w bet on marching, as ive done so each start this prep and just seems to be so consistant, the widish barrier is a worry but ill still have a small bet.
Only other one for the day is a roughie in the last, Goldfield ashes. Have followed this horse for a while, was a bit dissapointed with the barrier, but at those odds its worth a gamble.

Good luck everyone
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  #9  
Old 12th October 2007, 06:44 PM
jefff_12 jefff_12 is offline
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Where is the 8's on Laura's Charm?
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  #10  
Old 12th October 2007, 06:54 PM
maverick1993 maverick1993 is offline
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you'd have missed the 8's now..but 7's Ias and Betstar if your quick,,,

forgot about Chinchilla Rose 5's tomorrow,,,this horse will be ridden back after the last start brain explosion by the trainer...
Stathi is confident and the horse should be to good for these,,,i also think little Arrow 13's will race well ,,she'll be up on the pace and will have every chance,,..i'll have to be on both..
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