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Old 6th April 2008, 08:41 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default Prime Factor for increasing SR

How many times have you backed your inform trusty stead which looks like it has the race won, only to be knocked on the line by a 30/1 box headed shot & to add insult to injury, it keeps happening all day, where ones selection runs 2nd to inferior looking horses.

One will read from so called experts that its best to target good class races .
Then that raises the complicated question of what defines class.
So lets make it simple.

I have found that horses with strange form, seem to win less often if one where to target only the races where there are one or more last start winners in the field.

This tells us that the race field is not a total dud, class wise.

One will find ones selction SR should increase, if using any form criteria & less chance of zero form animals knocking you off.

One will find that most races where outsiders get up are usually in races where there are no last start winners in them.

If one had say a SR of 1.6 winners in every 8 races (20%) & we were able to delete the races with no Last Start Winners in them .
That could mean that ones SR could then maybe become say 1.6 winners in every 6 races , this in effect means the SR could now go from 20% to 26.6% . Thats an improvement of 33%

This could show up as increased profit potential on ones current selection criteria.

To test this idea, have a look at any race where outsiders have got up & in most cases, it will be in races where there are no last start winners in the field.

Check it out.
Cheers.
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