Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10th January 2009, 10:36 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,418
Default Fixed Odds

I have again got fixed on a race at Ascot today backing every horse in the race to win 2.4%. This was very hard work and took ages, mainly because I'm unfamiliar with where to get the odds, can anyone suggest where I can get fixed odds early on, whilst I'll never make a fortune at this, I get such a kick when I know that I cannot lose.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10th January 2009, 10:47 AM
1annandale1 1annandale1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 27
Default Fixed odds

I'm intrigued .How did you get fixed odds at Ascot so early?
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10th January 2009, 11:44 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,418
Default

1annandale1, that's the problem, eg. you can get fixed odds from Canbet right to the end of the program, but don't seem to be avaiable early on so you have to bet with a bookie or get friends to bet for you (theres a limit to friendship)

I do get circulars most weeks offering fixed odds but only for certain races.

What I'm after is a selection of fixed odds available early on so that I have time to do the mathes? any ideas?
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10th January 2009, 11:52 AM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,415
Default

The slight problem with this approach is when there is a late scratching and deductions ruin it all, or you work for ages and can only lock in a 10% loss across the board.
They don't tell you about when you lose no matter what horse wins the race - a very sick feeling indeed.
Often bookies will put up fake odds and when you go to put on the bet, the odds aren't (and never were available) or are snapped up by someone else ahead in the queue.

For what it's worth, if you have a huge and massive bank, it works.
Sean Bartholomew (one of Australia's biggest punters) employs very similar tactics to get over the odds on the top end of the field.

If he likes the favourite, he'll back the horses around it everywhere and suddenly the favourite eases, he gets better odds before CRUNCH on the favourite.
He'll manipulate the market because he has the power to do so.
It's a very bad tactic to do this without the bankroll to back it up.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 413,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/01/2025
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10th January 2009, 12:07 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,418
Default

Chrome, Mmmmmm, a very good point there that I hadn't factored in. Acumen will give fixed odds early on but didn't mention anything about penalties.

As far as the pro goes ...... reminds me of a bloke called John Gogh in the UK a few years back (a well known pro) he used to employ that tactic, he was well known by the public at the track (especially York) and would manipulate prices like that very successfully, (though it didn't always work of course) I remember they banned him from betting on the Tote cos he would have 50,000 for a place red hot favs...like 10-1 ON etc , as the tote had a minimum payout (in those days) of 11p (10p stake)
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10th January 2009, 03:56 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
If he likes the favourite, he'll back the horses around it everywhere and suddenly the favourite eases, he gets better odds before CRUNCH on the favourite.


any market watchers out there will note this happening on a regular basis, i tried to build something around it a while back & failed dismally(:

party, i had some fun on betfair doing a similar thing, usually with only 1 or 2 nags in a race, win if they win, win if they lose, wonderful feeling once its all locked in, but again failed to make it pay longterm as too often they shortened when i needed em to lengthen or vice versa

so worked out eventually i much prefer to see my sole selection in the race power home to WIN, i still lay the odd very short nag i suspect cant win, but it just never provides the same level of satisfaction/moola
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 11:38 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655