I have been watching for a long time not betting on big events, The ARC (Marienbard) The st leger (Bollin Eric) The mile in Chicago (Domedriver)
In the melbourne gold cup pick a horse about 9/1 who,s name you would probably not even look at when looking normaly - DONT Worry about form just do it and watch.

It was such a tragic end to your namesake, Landseer, Aidan O'Brien had him in fine fettle, and only a 3YO. What a loss.

As for your tip, I'm scratching my head - as they say in Oz - clear as mud mate ! :???:

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Ta me go maith