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Old 30th October 2010, 11:01 AM
kellmark kellmark is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2009
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Default Longershots for today 30/10

A thread to try and find some better value outside the favs for E/W and Place betting

Flemington

Race 1 Ace Acosta (4) - On the way up horse, meets a few of these again, would need to be good to beat the top 2 but can run a place at odds. Goldstone (5) - another Bart horse, big step in distance, place bet.

Race 2 Moudre (8) - More than capable, very fit and wouldn't surprise, E/W.

Race 5 Shocking (1) - looking outside So You Think, he is the one that can upset E/W. Metal Bender (2) - I think the heavy track in the Cup fixed him, assuming the heavier rain is delayed he can atone at good odds E/W.

Race 6 Digital Fortress (9) - Less than a length behind Retrieve, indicates he will like the extra distance. E/W

Race 7 No Evidence Needed (8) well she has to beat TT and HD and that's no minor task but she has ideal conditions E/W

Race 9 Jungle Ruler (4), if the track is softer by this stage he will be in it. Place. Woorim (9) got knocked over at start last time willing to give him another crack E/W

Rosehill

Race 6 Mustard (1) Old campaigner can run a place at odds. Kaunda (9) - has been running around the minor tracks but is in great form. Place.

Race 7 Ashlees Jewel (2) - has been running in classier races without luck, could upset E/W.

Race 8 Welkom Gold (6) - third up and fitter, coming back in distance is the query E/W

Doomben

Race 6 One Lickity Split (9) - professional placegetter and going the extra distance today but is capable E/W

Race 7 Destiny Partners (11) - Off the track a bit last start, prefer shorter but has placed at distance. E/W

Morphetville

Race 2 You Or Me (6) back home in appropriate class. E/W

Race 3 Akhabrach (6) good form in provincial tracks, got blocked last run, distance query E/W

Race 5 Impact Point (5) unusual racing pattern could run a place at big odds.

Race 7 Bergstrom (1) down in class and can run a place at odds. St Fraser (10) freshened up and can compete with these E/W

Race 8 Heaven For Sure (3) Out wide but will go forward, if he doesn't use too much fuel to do this can strike again E/W
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