Use SPORTSMAN

PLACE % = 70 +

Weight = 55 KG +

Top 5 on Av Prize Money

Last 3 starts in current campaign = 10 or less but last start 1 - 4

Age 4 or 5 -6 YO male Horse

Senior rider to 1.5 Claiming Apprentice

Last start within 14 days

Races on the Pace (sportsman H-handy)

Cheers
darky

Darky, all the best with this one but could I offer another.......?
Wager (1x7) on any horse which has a place strike rate > 80%.
It is basically for the novice punter but should provide many thrills and a respectable POT.

Cheers.

Thank you.
Another string to the bow.
Cheers
darky

RANDWICK
R 5 H 1

E.FARM
R 8 H 11 (Watch scratchings re P.Money - its 6th on av PM - not 5)

Cheers
darky

A variation:

Races less than 1700m (on-pacers more significant at shorter distance scale)
Place SR of 70% or more
Win SR of more than 20%
Ran in first 4 placings last start
1st, 2nd or 3rd at 400m/turn last start
At least 3 career wins
Aged 3yo to 6yo
Raced in last 63 days (basicly just not 1st up)
Less than $10 at SP

Runners 3404
Wins 944 27.73%
Return $3,329 LOT -2.2% on Unitab

Now just eliminate Fillies & Mares and this is in profit! Chase best tote, top fluc & Betfair odds and this has been a good earner.

So, it appears very consistent horses that are proven winners can be depended on to repeat. I initially thought they would be overbet, but there we go. This can be improved on to become a good system.

Other variations to consider:

Eliminate top rank in API (too obvious)
Up more than 1kg in weight (hcp to hcp - down in class)
Not up more than 100m in distance on its last run

+ 8 units @ Unitab prices over 10 years.....

Additional rules around 140 units over 10 years.....down about 3 units since 1/1/09...??

__________________
Stix
.......Giddy Up..... !!

Any metro horse Place S/R >80% = S/R 19% LOT 14%
Any metro horse Place S/R >80% & Placed last start = S/R 19% LOT 14%
Any metro horse Place S/R >80% & 2yo = S/R 17% LOT 15%
Any metro horse Place S/R >80% & 3yo = S/R 18% LOT 15%
Any metro horse Place S/R >80% & 4yo = S/R 22% LOT 14%
Any metro horse Place S/R >80% & 5yo = S/R 23% POT 2.6%
Any metro horse Place S/R >80% & >5yo = S/R 18% LOT 11%


Any metro horse Place S/R >80% & 5yo
> 2 win
0...200m
<1600m
<$20001 Prize Money
= S/R 28% POT 30%
Max Div $58

__________________
Stix
.......Giddy Up..... !!