Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > General Topics
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 23rd August 2011, 07:53 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,457
Default Maths Formula Needed

I am running some tests and need a formula that i just can't work out, here is the situation i have.

I lay a runner for $20 then lay each other selections for a liability of $30, a lot of the time i make a profit on the other selections but sometimes there is no profit on any selection.

What i need is a formula to insure i get a profit on the other selections, what would be the best way to do this.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 23rd August 2011, 09:09 PM
moeee moeee is offline
Suspended
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
Default

I don't know the answer , but surely if the return is less than the total outlay , then that would be a bad situation.

I figure just adding up the total collects and comparing them to the possible payout on individual animals would be the answer.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 24th August 2011, 04:06 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

The reason for that is because $10 lay bet won instead of falling over.

The idea of the $10 lay bet is to reduce the overall Liability & it sounds like its doing its job if it breaks even , otherwise there could have been a loss if one did not do it the way you do it.

If you want the others to show a profit , then drop the $10 lay bet, but now one is exposed to much greater liability if any of those bite you & will take longer to recover.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 24th August 2011, 04:39 AM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,425
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
I am running some tests and need a formula that i just can't work out, here is the situation i have.

I lay a runner for $20 then lay each other selections for a liability of $30, a lot of the time i make a profit on the other selections but sometimes there is no profit on any selection.

What i need is a formula to insure i get a profit on the other selections, what would be the best way to do this.


Providing the market is 100% or more, the easiest way is to adjust your $20 stake up or down according to the price of the runner.
The shorter the price of your lay selection, the more likely you are to lose on the other runners betting this way because your liability is a lot less on a short price when using fixed stake of $20. (than the $30 liability on the others).

I think I know what you're trying to do with this method, it's something I've investigated myself.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 409,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/10/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 24th August 2011, 07:31 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,457
Default

It is a bit hard to explain what i am doing with out giving to much information away, i have worked far to long on this project.

I know it is a percentage type answer that i am looking for because this is an automated type system i need my sheet to work out the correct answer on it's own.

I may send you an e-mail on this Chrome.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 24th August 2011, 09:22 AM
lomaca lomaca is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1,096
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
I am running some tests and need a formula that i just can't work out, here is the situation i have.

I lay a runner for $20 then lay each other selections for a liability of $30, a lot of the time i make a profit on the other selections but sometimes there is no profit on any selection.

What i need is a formula to insure i get a profit on the other selections, what would be the best way to do this.

Hi Shaun, I don't lay bet at all and quite honestly don't really understand the finer points of it.

However your problem is simply of odds, you cannot bet a set amount regardless of prices!

If you left out the $20 bet it would possibly work most of the times depending on odds again, but in this case you have to write a formula that automatically adjust the bets on the other runners to make sure that you either break even or win, whichever event occurs.
That shouldn't be too hard except I don't know if your bot could handle it?

Good luck with it
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 24th August 2011, 09:33 AM
lomaca lomaca is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1,096
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
Hi Shaun, I don't lay bet at all and quite honestly don't really understand the finer points of it.

However your problem is simply of odds, you cannot bet a set amount regardless of prices!

If you left out the $20 bet it would possibly work most of the times depending on odds again, but in this case you have to write a formula that automatically adjust the bets on the other runners to make sure that you either break even or win, whichever event occurs.
That shouldn't be too hard except I don't know if your bot could handle it?

Good luck with it
PS,
of course you'd run into a liability issue, I don't know if you can set the $30 and still vary the individual amounts, shouldn't think so?
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 24th August 2011, 10:33 AM
jose jose is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: brisbane
Posts: 419
Wink

Shaun, wrong forum for questions like that. You will end up giving away your whole edge. As a few on here know, it doesn't take much to turn a profitable edge into a non-profitable one.
Do yourself a favour and try a "maths" or "excel" type forum. Most times the posters on them are more than helpful.
__________________
Jose'.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 24th August 2011, 02:15 PM
kellmark kellmark is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 1,001
Default

Try this link from PPM, I use it occasionally. Bummer is you have to fill out your details to download it for their email database but you just unsubscribe later
Cheers.

http://www.practicalpunting.com.au/...k/q2enwltzi.php
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 25th August 2011, 04:10 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

If you want a program that can vary the liability on each runner I have found

Fairbot to be brilliant at doing just that.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 07:46 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655