Hi Bhagwan,

Firstly can I say thanks to you sir for your invaluable contributions here over the years and also your endeavours to remain level headed amongst the 'noise', from time to time.

It is also my intention to add some learnings here of my own in good time, but I am not expecting to catch up to you any time soon!

My question regards SR as follows...

Assuming that 1st and 2nd favorites come in approx 50% of the time in any one race over the longer term, how to calculate the effective SR if I target the first 2 favorites and find a system that consistently eliminates the 'false' favorite of the 2 (Say 67-75% of the time)?

Would I be left with a SR that lies somewhere between 40-50%?

LG

Ya little Ripper your Lordship.
A thinking Punter.
Welcome to the Club.
Cheers
darky

Ya little Ripper your Lordship.
A thinking Punter.
Welcome to the Club.
Cheers
darky

Doffs my cap to you, Sir Les

Just trying to find my way thru the darkness in 'ere!

LG

And mine to you my dear chap.

Me thinks you are much more advanced than,
You are letting on about yourself L.G.

Good luck here anyway.

Cheers.

And mine to you my dear chap.

I seem to have a echo on my previous post.
A omen perhaps.

Why not post the findings of 'false' favourites that have been discussed in the past.

I'll kick it off .....

Favourite that was beaten favourite last start = 14% S/R (from memory)
I personally wouldn't touch a fav dropping back in distance either.

Appreciate your response Gary, but if punting is a puzzle.. I only have very few of the pieces in front of me at any 1 time!

Also helps to be respectful in a room / forum where there are many more knowledgeable members present who are way ahead of me?

Having said that, if sharing is the key and we all have something to contribute in here, then we may have untold riches to find together given some time, patience and respect

No sermon intended - just my humble opinion.


LG

Well said.