#1
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![]() For what it is worth (probably not the paper it is written on!) the following method has been showing >50% POT from start of this year.
It tends to go against what most punters would do, which is follow the "money". Contender Rules 1. Main Melbourne and Sydney meeting each Saturday 2. Only consider the first 3 opening favourites (and equals). I use Betchoice for the opening prices 3. Horse must ease at each price call i.e. it must not firm at any call Filters 1. Delete any horse opening at >=$6 2. Delete any races <8 starters (after scratchings) Results (so far) Overall 125 bets 36 winning bets 28.8% S/R +68.5 units Bank 54.8% POT States Individually Melbourne 75 bets 22 winning bets 29.3% S/R +38.2 units Bank 50.9 POT% Sydney 50 bets 14 winning bets 28.0 S/R +30.0 units Bank 60.6% POT This looks easy in theory but the difficulty is when to place your bet. You could place the bet on a horse that has eased at each turn only to see it firm at the death knock which would then mean it was not a qualifier. I hope someone finds this interesting. |
#2
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![]() Thank you.
Another good one to add to my thinking outside the square cache. Cheers darky |
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