#1
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![]() Thanks to Speedy Ben's success I've looked at a neural lay system. Over the past two days there have been 115 selections for 115 smiles.
I'll see how it goes today. Because of the time it takes to identify the selections I have omitted Canterbury, Launceston and Albany. If I get time I might have a look at them. I'm laying the following selections for a liability of $33. Taree 1/2, 11 3/2, 4, 8, 10, 11, 15 4/6, 8, 14 5/5, 12 6/2, 4, 8, 12, 14 7/9, 14 8/5, 9, 14 Stawell 5/8 6/11 7/3, 5, 11 8/9 Ipswich 1/10 2/8 4/11 5/4 7/8, 12 8/17, 18, 19, 20, 21 Sapphire Coast 1/3, 11 2/7,8, 10 5/7 6/1, 4, 5, 11 7/13 8/7 |
#2
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![]() The method has already struck an accident. Thankyou, Forum Curse...
However there have been 18 smiles for a return of $27.91 ($33 liability) which isn't too bad for an outsider method. The loss at the moment is $4.82. The selections for the remaining venues are: Albany 1/3 2/4 4/5, 9 7/6, 9, 10 Cranbourne 3/2, 4 4/1, 7, 10 7/9, ,11 8/10, 13 |
#3
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![]() Not a bad day - from the 67 selections there were 65 smiles for a profit of $18.92.
Due to time constraints I've only looked at the four major meetings today, they are: Warwick Farm 5/8 6/6 7/7 8/6, 12 Flemington 3/8, 11 6/8 7/9, 10, 11 8/5, 11, 14 Morphetville 4/9 6/3 8/10 Dombeen 1/11, 15 2/12 4/9 6/13 7/6, 11, 16 8/11, 17 9/13 |
#4
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![]() I made a mistake - there were no selections in Flemington race 8 even though I listed there were three of them. No need to say one of the "selections" was the winner of the race.
However, in spite of this the method thankfully finished about $1 in profit. From tomorrow I'll re-start the method as it looks promising, and I'll double-check the validity of the selections. |
#5
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![]() And now for something completely different - a neural Lay method that targets the high end of the market so that any smile should produce a relatively good profit. On Friday and yesterday there was one accident each day but almost all the smiles ended up at single prices on Unitab.
Hobart 7/1 Bunbury 4/3 5/2 7/2 8/7 9/9 Canberra 3/7 Corowa 4/1 Stony Creek 3/8 8/6 |
#6
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![]() Okay I'll join you mg. These are lay bets and must be under $10. I am using Maria staking - $5 up to odds $3.50, $3 up to odds $7, $2 up to odds $10.
By the way, these are all 100 raters on tattsbet/unitab and only selecting certain horses. Sunshine Coast 2- 8 Corowa 4- 4 5- 14 Stony Creek 5- 1 Clare 4- 6 Canberra 5- 13 7- 3 Bunbury 8- 7 Echuca 3- 3 5- 1 Hobart 5- 4
__________________
Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.” ― Earl Nightingale Last edited by The Ocho : 10th March 2013 at 11:54 AM. |
#7
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![]() Quote:
Let me be the first to congratulate you Ocho. A real gutsy effort! I haven't got to the bottom of your selection criteria yet, but you obviously have an insight into selection analysis beyond the ordinary. Well done RP |
#8
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![]() Quote:
It would appear that the Good Lord has slipped a DART (Doctorate in Advanced pattern-Recognition Technology) into your diaper at birth. Ingenious. Cheers LG PS Still working on my TAFE certificate here... nearly 49 years later!
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB Last edited by Lord Greystoke : 10th March 2013 at 07:19 PM. |
#9
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![]() Thanks very much Rinconpaul and Lord Greystoke. I can't believe it. Beginners luck for sure. I noticed today they all lost but the following were my stats for just the ones that started at $10 or under:
Full Market Name Selection Bet Type Amount Price Profit And Loss AUS / Echu (AUS) 10th Mar / 14:30 R3 1200m Hcap 3. Solar Strike Lay 3 3.95 3 AUS / Coro (AUS) 10th Mar / 15:10 R4 1600m CL2 4. Mr Trim Lay 3.02 6 3.02 AUS / StCr (AUS) 10th Mar / 15:23 R5 1100m Hcap 1. Spirit Cent Lay 3.03 3.95 3.03 AUS / Canb (AUS) 10th Mar / 15:32 R5 1400m Listed 13. Brave Soul Lay 3.05 4.1 3.05 AUS / Clre (AUS) 10th Mar / 15:36 R4 1100m Hcap 6. Sir Trentin Lay 3.05 3.4 3.05 AUS / Hoba (AUS) 10th Mar / 16:04 R5 1200m Hcap 4. Hold Onto Your Hat Lay 2.06 7.4 2.06 AUS / Canb (AUS) 10th Mar / 16:46 R7 2000m Listed 3. Shadows In The Sun Lay 3.1 5.6 3.1 I'm trying this with Maria staking ($5, $3, $2) but also using ratchet staking. While giving this a go I am still thinking of just using a plain $5 level stake as BF might start to question the lay bets under $5 (most were for $3 today). Today 7 smiles from 7 matching selections Maria Total +$18.99 ![]() $5 Level Stakes +$32.72 (commission deducted)
__________________
Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.” ― Earl Nightingale |
#10
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![]() Quote:
FB is a tad less onorous on the ears in the early hours than FC, yes?! Long may your Neural lays continue, Master blaster. Cheers LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB |
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