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#1
8th November 2014, 08:54 PM
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What if.. ?
What if the world was really upside down - inside out - back the front.
E.G The last 3 runs What if most of us are reading it backwards? Cheers LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB 
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#2
9th November 2014, 10:14 AM
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Yeah.
Most punters rely on the last run without ever considering what Class of race it was . i.e up in class , drop in class, same class. Is that what you were referring to?
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#3
9th November 2014, 10:32 AM
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Quote:
I think what LG is referring to is something like Held Hostage's form? 1 2 5 due for a win again? and did at $7.80
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#4
9th November 2014, 10:42 AM
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Quote:
Jeepers. You know me better than I do RP! Any thoughts on this one gentlemen?? Cheers LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB
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#5
9th November 2014, 10:49 AM
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Rinconpaul
Might be but how would one know without considering ALL the form factors that produce winners. i.e Class /weight etc etc
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#6
9th November 2014, 10:56 AM
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Was thinking more on these angles Darky...
1. The horse is in the race because the trainer thinks it has some chance of winning. Regardless of current form 2. It has been successful before based on its earlier form 3. We get better value given its best form is not its most recent LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB
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#7
9th November 2014, 11:14 AM
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Quote:
Well considering that assessing horses based on recent form only produces 1 in 3 winners, then LG's contrarian approach is as good as any, in my book  Looking at Flemington yesterday the winners L3s were: 1 125 699 x11 532 115 x11 N31 x13 Just an observation, but I'd be dropping that one LG in favour of: Had a win in last three starts? 7 out of 9 
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#8
9th November 2014, 11:49 AM
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Quote:
Food for thought RP. Have listed the no. of selections in each race with a win in last 3 starts and the div on unitab as a guide. Cheers LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB
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#9
9th November 2014, 11:52 AM
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Hi Rincon ,
Perhaps you would run that through your R2W data base. I,m interested in the outcome Cheers and thanks
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#10
9th November 2014, 12:05 PM
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LG,
Is your thinking along the lines of excluding LS winners but including 3rd and 2nd runs in current campaign. I love this sort of intellectual challenge. Thanks for posting. ps I will look along the lines of price ranges i.e $2 - $11 but today ALL price ranges. Good luck with it. Last edited by darkydog2002 : 9th November 2014 at 12:08 PM.
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