This is a sample of what I'm doing this year.

What happens is I add up the ratings of players actually playing in the game and that is my expected score.

Any comments on whether they look right or wrong.

Player ratings for Brisbane.

LUKE POWER------8
NIGEL LAPPIN----7.8
MICHAEL VOSS----7.7
SIMON BLACK-----7.6
JONATHAN BROWN--7.2
JASON AKERMANIS-7.1
JAMIE CHARMAN---5.6
CHRIS JOHNSON---5.5
MARTIN PIKE-----5.3
BLAKE CARACELLA-5.3
SHAUN HART------5.2
DANIEL BRADSHAW-5.1
RICHARD HADLEY--5
JUSTIN LEPPITSCH-4.7
BRAD SCOTT------4.7
CRAIG McRAE-----4.6
ALASTAIR LYNCH--4.4
MAL MICHAEL-----4.3
TIM NOTTING-----4.3
ROBERT COPELAND-4
ASHLEY McGRATH--4
CHRIS SCOTT-----3.4

they look ok ratings but arent there too many factors oe variables to consider with player ratings?

what if a player's mother is sick in the hospital, things like that can affect his performance. what if his wife just left him? lol it requires way too much research if u ask me.

but I wish u the best of luck and I will be interested to see how it goes for you.

Did you get these from those Newspaper ratings you were talking about???

Are you still going to make some adjustments for home ground advantage and head to head records??? If so, it's probably okay.

Yes to all those questions Sportz.
Are you surprised to see Luke Power heading the list? I am.!

And another way it will work is to compare matchups.
So,Knowledge,if two players have equal matchups in ratings and one has lost their mother,do they get a bonus or a penalty.

Sportz,I will look at what each player rated vlast time they played against the upcoming opponent.
Like when Sydney play Brisbane the players usually don't rate as well,so I will be modifying the ratings downward somewhat.This should perhaps take care of the statistical advantages.

And a tip for all AFL punters.
Do not back a team to win by less than a certain margin.Regardless of the improved betting price!

Brrmmm Brmmmm Thats Moeee getting warmed up
Go Mo

What about the fact you have 2 guys on the list that are retired and another one that now plays for collingwood, id be interested to see how they affect your rankings

Sportz!
I compared my team rating with my players rating method using the teams that last played and they were almost exactly the same.
So I don't quite know where I am going to improve my tipping then.