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#1
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Eagle Farm Saturday
Race 1.
Was hard for me to seperate Rue the Saint , Tackman and Lord Rupert. I settled on Rue the Saint mainly on his run 2 starts back..he probably should of won that race ,,and Devastating and Bohemian Dancer form isn't bad at all.it was to short for him last time and he should get the nice tempo set up by Cold Start...Lord rupert is as honest as they come and Tackman is flying as well...I'm not a fan of McKinnon ..as this is my only reservation..but i think he's ready here and should be nice odds as i think some punters would of given up on him.. looks a easy tri...2,3,4,9 Race 2. Looks a non betting race...Lachlan River should win this and maybe Coalesce to prove a nuisance....but he'll be short..Planagram will set the tempo up for Lachlan and Coalesce but i have a therory Pengally won't be to hard on Lachlan as he's got bigger plans down the track...Maybe Beale St at odds could surprise ...he's been running on very well,,the distance suits so will the tempo but i'm not very intersted .. might have a play tri with these three.. Race 3. I don't like Daimyo as he seemed to just fall in last start. and he was ridden for dear life...Just the Star looks the class here..just not totally convinced ...he might need the run so i might gamble with him.... I dont mind Rosimia at odds..the trainer isnt a dreamer and is jumping this filly in class.love the breeding ...fantastic run last start where it was just eating up the ground..thought Piccolo who had some support last start could improve.. Rosamia at odds e/w.. Race 4. Mesmorizing looks hard to beat..was first up over 1350 and now goes to the 1400m second up..Laming knows his stuff,,he's going to be short .but with Cahill on board looks to have it on this lot.. Bay Owl did well last start and has been in fine form up north... Your Lion eyes, Bertha and Rejuvanate lass for the multis Bay Owl is 13's in the paper at those odds is a good e/w I think if you take out Mesmorizing its very open..there doesnt seem to be much speed in the race but that shouldnt worry Mesmorizing as he wont be to far off them.. Race 5. Was on Imprisioned 2 starts ago and knocked him last start over the 1200m...back to the 1000m here and will be hard to catch..I'd love to tip Poetic Papal who's been working the house down but the weight scares me alittle....he runs well fresh and will get the speed here from Iprisioned that will suit..also has the good barrier and Jockey.likes the track..ok i've talked myself into him.. thought Bunsen Honeydew a good place chance at odds and the ever consistant Panzer to be around the money aswell..don't leave out Golden Fox in the multis..i like this horse and the trainer but i think drawing out and first up will be hard for him..to good a horse to leave out completely.. Race 6. Very open race this one...could tip 10 horses here.. Went looking for a run on horse with a good barrier,,,came up with Blue Oyster but i dont have a jockey for him so he might not be running or maybe they are waiting to see if Colless can ride the weight ....if he does i think has a good chance here...they know the trick to this one now...ride him cold and let him fly....if he is scratched Snick whos been ultra consistent up north and with the good barrier and jock has a show..he wont get to far back either and will put himself in the race.. Arrowsweep and Limarki good chances aswell.. tough race.. Race 7. Love Blank Ink ..will get a mile back again..but this horse could make it down south in some good races...runs the flashy sectionals.. wont be easy for him and its always heart in your mouth stuff with these backmarkers....written By Xaar did the job for us last time and will prominent again... tropiqualo who should get the nice sit is a big chance.. will look at these 3...wont take anything to short about Black Ink ..but i like him.. race 8. Another open race....was on Stood up last time in and he was very unlucky..he goes up in weight but down in class here and will be ver hard to beat...thought at odds Miss La Tar could run a big race..great run from amile back last start and has one of my favourite jocks on board.. As you can see i'm not super confident on anything on a day that looks fairly tough.. Mesmorzing , Black Ink , Stood up and Poetic Papal are my more fancied bets at this point... Good luck |
#2
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Other state selections
Sydney *Midnight City, *Mahtoum, *Paulini, *Deuxieme have some roughies here..looking e/w and having a play with trifectas ect..Paulini will like the extra distance....Dizelle and Lotteria the obvious in the others but i doubt they'll be any value at all.. Melbourne *King's Arch, *Catscan,*Emerald Jack in the Dubai i'm going wide with the plays ..Roman Arch in the wet is a tough old thing that could stick on well in this ..was on OER last week and swear if the the jock goes inside she wins...both treated nicely at the weights..i'll be having an e/w...Niconero ,Calveen, and Barely a moment in the mix.. always value in the exotics in the big races.. Adelaide *Hillfa, *Pray Silence, *Lady Chorister The Punting club will back Merlot now...but Super Elegant looks to hard to beat..but we'll be backing Merlot as we have done in every one of his starts.. thought Pipkin will be hard to beat but unders..might be tempted into Open Cut..depends how i'm going.. Kembla *Evaporized, *Belhari, *Ledger Kalgoolie *Jungle Jazz Gold Coast *The New Black, *Tea Biscuit, *Beamer Belmont *Foxaround, *Scenic Assault (probably both to short) New Zealand *Shinzig, *Scenic Pete Wow a stack of races..will be busy tomorrow..need to cull a few of these but as usual scratchings , price or track conditions usually take care of a few.. limit 20 races.. Good luck all and lets hope theres a Lord Of Lauriston there somwhere... |
#3
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[QUOTE=maverick1993]Other state selections
New Zealand *Shinzig, *Scenic Pete QUOTE] hope you early birds got the worm ?? love starting the day with a winner woooooohoooo |
#4
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Race 2: is a good race to take on Lachlan river carrying 59kg. Coalesce ran 3 wide last start and gets a good chance and Kreisler's Jewel with 4 1/2kg. on Lachlan River has a top show. My pick is Coalesce for a win bet.
Race 5: Poetic Papal and Bunxsen Honeydew both for a win or the latter for one win bet for a bit of value. race 7: Boxed Tri. Black ink, Mister Kaye, Written by Xaar, Star of Asia. One of those will win it. Hope everyone has a good day. |
#5
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I will sum up my day quickly and easily UGLY one of the worst ever when I was so confident going into it.
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#6
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Quote:
god i hate those days, luckily i put a couple of bets on this morning and then went to golf and didnt put any more on. so didnt lose to much. will be different next week, going to doomben so ill be on every race. better study up next weekend so i have a better showing. |
#7
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Sumary
Brisbane
Race 1 tackman was to good...very dissapointed with the ride on Rue the saint..always had reservations about the jockey..have even more now.. was right whe i said easy tri..should of just boxed them 20 times,, zilcho for me .. Race 2. No bet bet race..Lachlan always to good...cant wait for him to go down south as he's only warming up..had a tri here but missed ..went 1/4,3 x 25 .. Race 3. went for Rosimaia and took on Daimyo who won easily...was right to risk the toppy but Rosimia looked to have her chance..Daimyo won well after he looked to of struggled to get over the line last start.. loss. Race 4. This was better ...Mesmorizing was always to short for me but i managed the trifecta a few times...great result..had an e/w on Bay Owl which was good also.. liked the way Mesmorizing hit the line...very strong..and wasnt pushed.. Race 5 Zilcho here...talked myself out of Imprisioned and onto Poetic Papal ..stupid stupid stupid...Poetic was dissapionting ,ridden alittle forward than usual but had his chance.. Race 6. Blue Oyster ran on well....isnt Mason ridding well ..never gave anyone a chance on limarki... another loss.. race 7. Finally a win ,,,woohooo a real ice win by Black Ink,,,,tri a few times and the 1st4 ,,,,thank god.. really like this horse...will win a few nice races,, Race 8. Stoodup looked to have it 50ms out..but no cigar...had every chance... would of been nice to finish a frustrating day in brissie on a high note.. Overall a small profit in Brissie...i'm happy with that after only getting 2 from 7 ..the 1st4 helped a heap...tough day in the windy city.. Sydney Great start with Midnight City...very good win.. was all set to go for Mahtoum e/w but for the late mail..and i told u he was a good judge..Desert War was a huge result..nice trifecta nice divie..missed the 1st4,,didnt think portland would get 2nd.. Losses on Paulin and Dexiume.. way ahead in Sydney Melbourne Kings Arch and Emeral Jack both losing..had a good win though on Perlin..very happy with this.. small profit in Melbourne.. Adelaide losses on Lady Chorister and Pray silence...liked Oahu in the last but to short for me.. big loss in Adelaide,, Kembla Loss on Evaporized and Belhari.. Ledger to short for me... loss .. Gold Coast The New black won but was to short for me...Tea Biscuit lost but only just..and good old beamer was just to good ..what a horse,, nice profit at the Coast.. Belmont No bets here..would of lost with Foxaround but won on Scenic Assault... but both were alittle to short for me.. New Zealand.. Loss with Shinzig but a real nice win on Scenic Pete...great result in Kiwi Land.. All in all a good days work with consistant results across the board,,Adelaide let the team down....but all the other meeetings did well.. Had outlayed my biggest stake today after increasing my bank...was alitle scary after struggling during the week..but that all changed after i won my first 2 races today.. Hope you guys had a win |
#8
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Quote:
Keep your head up Raw..last week i only had 1 winning day..couldnt tip a thing..you'll hit back, |
#9
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MY tips for tomorrow (sorry no explanation) just to see how i go
Race 1: Rue the Saint Race 2: Laughlan River (think thats a special) Race 3: Picabelle Race 4: Bay Owl Race 5: Star Groom Race 6: Arrowsweep Race 7: To many i think could get up in this one. Im going to go with an outsider Video Hits (won 2 from 3 second up so might be a chance) also like Black Ink, Tropiqualo, My Best Tycoon and Scottish Reaver. Hopefully i can pick a winner out of those Race 8: Wheel the Lead Good luck tomorrow |
#10
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Melbourne
Race 1: Ready to Mambo 5's or better would be appreciated. Race 3: Desert Marauder I always liked this horse and it is only very lightly raced don't be surprised if it runs a good race Race 6: Confectioner just looks very had to roll here if Sir Dex had drawn a barrier I would have been all over him I do think that Shes justa a tad will run a good race to. Race 7: Calveen should have won last start will make amends tomorrow Race 9: Moscow Ballet thought his was a very nice run last start might be ready to show something. Sydney Race 5: Presently has come back in imaculate form will go very very close. Race 6: Power of Destiny would have gone very close with a crack at them last start might just make amends tomorrow. Race 8: Portland Singa not sure if she can win this but worth and e/w ticket was a tremendous run 1st up without being pushed has gone ok 2nd up in the past aswell. Race 9: Utzon has been one of i have followed recently and would think tomorrow would suit him to a tee Danni Martine big big danger ready to win tomorrow I think. |
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