Here are the updated Power Rankings after week 4.
Note that Home Field Advantage is now worth 6 points which is added to the home sides rating when comparing the strengths of two teams.


1. San Diego 39
2. Cincinatti 38
3. Denver 37
4. Pittsburgh 31
5. Philadelphia 31
6. Atlanta 29
7. Indianapolis 26
8. Chicago 26
9. Seattle 26
10. Jacksonville 25
11. Cleveland 24
12. New York Giants 24
13. Detroit 23
14. Kansas City 23
15. Tampa Bay 22
16. Washington 22
17. New Orleans 16
18. Dallas 16
19. Green Bay 16
20. New England 16
21. Minnesota 15
22. Oakland 14
23. Carolina 14
24. Buffalo 13
25. New York Jets 13
26. Miami 11
27. Tennessee 10
28. St Louis 10
29. Arizona 8
30. Houston 5
31. San Francisco 5
32. Baltimore 3

Week 5 Tips based on Power Rankings -


new orleans v GREEN BAY 6
baltimore v DETROIT 26
chicago v CLEVELAND 4
miami v BUFFALO 8
new england v ATLANTA 19
SEATTLE v st louis 10
TAMPA BAY v nyj 3
tennessee v HOUSTON 1
INIANAPOLIS v san francisco 15
washington v DENVER 21
PHILADELPHIA v dallas 9
carolina v arizona 0
CINCINATTI v jacksonville 7
pittsburgh v SAN DIEGO 14

Note that home sides are listed second with predicted winner and margin in CAPITALS.

Cheers
ATC

Hi ATC

Sorry I have forgotton. Are the predictions for straight out or for spread betting.

karla

Hi Karla,

The Power Rankings are used to produce the predicted winner and margin of a game based on all results this year. Be warned that because there is only 4 weeks of data these predictions will have a large error associated with them. After about week 10 the predictions will become more robust and i will post the predicted win probabilities with each match so the overlays can be determined. I hope these ratings help everyone find some winners.

Cheers
ATC