Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 23rd March 2006, 11:13 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Red face Unitab Quinellas

I have been looking at the Unitab ratings for quinella betting. I used 50 to 70% of the field in box quinellas. I have applied this rule to only those horses with a rating of 90 points-plus in fields of 9 to 12 starters. If there are 10 starters then there must be a minimum of 5 to a maximum of 7 runners that have 90 points or more. If only 4 (40%) runners have 90 points-plus then it is a no-race, the same if 8 runners have 90 points-plus. Hopefully this identifies races that don't have short-priced faves or races that are too "open".

The results since last Saturday (Unitab divvies) are:
22 quinellas from 28 races.
Outlay of $435 for a return of $578 = by my calcs this is a POT of 32.8%.
I have ignored the cents in the divvies, so if a quinella paid $10.90 I have recorded it as $10. With 22 successful quinellas it would not be unreasonable to expect an extra $10 on top of the $578. I have not looked at trifectas but would not be surprised if thet haven't done too badly.

If anyone's interested, today's races are:
Hawkesbury R6 nos.2, 5, 7, 8, 11, 12
Hawkesbury R7 nos. 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 10
Bendigo R6 nos. 1, 2, 4, 5, 7, 9
Ipswich R1 nos. 1, 2, 4, 5, 10
Ipswich r6 nos. 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
Ipswich R8 nos. 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 9, 10, 12

Quinella outlay of $111
Trifecta outlay of $1,902
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 24th March 2006, 10:15 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Red face

From the six races yesterday we had three quinellas. The outlay was $111 but the return was $79. The trifecta outlay was $1,092 and the return was $2,820. As a matter of interest, there were five First Four races, of which we were successful in two of them - for a total outlay of $4,440 the return was approx $16,000. I'll also now show First Fours.

Two races today:
Albury R4 nos. 1, 2, 4, 5, 6,
Sale R 2 nos. 1, 2, 4, 5, 7, 10

Quinella outlay of $25
Trifecta outlay of $180.
First Four outlay of $480
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 25th March 2006, 11:05 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Red face

Yesterday:
The quinella outlay was $25 for a return of $18.
The trifecta outlay was $180 for a return of $215
The First Four outlay was $480 for a return of $840.

Seven races today:
Rosehill R6 nos. 2, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10, 11
Moonee Valley R1 nos. 1, 2, 3,4, 5
Moonee Valley R4 nos. 1, 2, 3, 5, 6
Dombeen R5 nos. 1, 2, 3, 7, 8, 11
Newcastle R6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8
Newcastle R8 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 9, 12
Werribee R3 nos. 1, 2, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12

Quinella outlay of $137
Trifecta outlay of $1,242
First Four outlay of $5,160

Last edited by michaelg : 25th March 2006 at 11:09 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 26th March 2006, 11:21 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Red face

Yesterday:
The quinella outlay was $127 for a return of $164
The trifecta outlay was $1,242 for a return of $1,312
The F.F. oytlay was $5,160 for a return of $545. Still showing a huge profit.

Seven races today:
Wellington R4 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 11
Wellington R5 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 10
Wellington R8 nos. 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, 10
Cranbourne R2 nos. 1, 3, 7, 8, 9, 10
Cranbourne R10 nos. 1, 3, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
Rocky R4 nos. 1, 2, 4, 7, 9, 11 - not a First Four race.
Rocky R6 nos. 2, 3, 4, 5, 10
Quinella outlay of $125
Trifecta outlay of $1,176
First Four outlay of $4,200
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 27th March 2006, 09:26 AM
Stix Stix is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 3,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Yesterday:
The quinella outlay was $127 for a return of $164
The trifecta outlay was $1,242 for a return of $1,312
The F.F. oytlay was $5,160 for a return of $545. Still showing a huge profit.

Seven races today:
Wellington R4 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 11
Wellington R5 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 10
Wellington R8 nos. 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, 10
Cranbourne R2 nos. 1, 3, 7, 8, 9, 10
Cranbourne R10 nos. 1, 3, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
Rocky R4 nos. 1, 2, 4, 7, 9, 11 - not a First Four race.
Rocky R6 nos. 2, 3, 4, 5, 10
Quinella outlay of $125
Trifecta outlay of $1,176
First Four outlay of $4,200
Michaelg

Seems to be kicking along nicely..... interesting take on things !
__________________
Stix
.......Giddy Up..... !!
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 27th March 2006, 11:08 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Red face

Yes, it's going along quite well, and after 22 races all three forms of betting are in front.

Yesterday:
Quinella outlay of $125 for a return of $192
Trifecta outlay of $1176 for a return of $630
First Four outlay of $4,200 for a return of $2,765.

Four races today:
Wellington R3 nos. 1, 2, 5, 7, 11
Grafton R2 nos. 1, 2, 4, 6, 8
Tatura R7 nos. 2, 3, 5, 8, 9
Tatura R8 nos. 2, 3, 6, 8, 9, 10, 11
Quinella outlay of $56
Trifecta outlay of $450
First Four outlay of $1,440
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 02:18 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655