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  #1  
Old 12th September 2006, 04:30 PM
Crackone Crackone is offline
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Default System for handicap races

Had this one sent to me anybody would like to test it?






Handicap races


We will look at Handicap races which are more open than other kinds of races and where winners and placed horses tend to start at bigger odds. the difficulty is to locate viable bets at longer prices when the basis of a good system must be form used in one way or another.


Class counts



A survey over a three-year period demonstrated that class counts in racing and that in flat handicaps horses

near the top of the handicap hold the best chance of winning.
The survey showed that 48% of the winners of all flat handicaps are one of the top tour in the weights and

over 60% come from the top 6 in the handicap so whilst runners can and do come from lower down in the handicap, statistically they are most likely to stem from the group which heads the weights

Form

As for form without which no system can hope to succeed many horses with sound form in recent runs do perform w

ell even though the market might give them only a slender chance of success. Any horse good enough to reach the first four in each of its last three races must have some chance of reaching a place again and may even win, despite what chance the odds compilers or the Bookmakers give them.
Picking the selections



First of all it is necessary to analyse each handicap on the days cards from the point of view of weight. This


is done by applying a sliding scale based on the number of runners in a race.
Handicaps of ten or less runners are ignored as are races of 17 or over



  • 15 or more runners consider the first six in the weights
  • 13 or 14 runners consider the first 5 in the weights
  • 11 or 12 runners -consider the first four in the weights

Then pick out any horses that have run third or fourth in each of their last three outings, which figured in


the above specified weight range and they are your selections.
Some days you will have more than one possibility and if you prefer to just back one horse each day then


select the one with the biggest forecast odds preferably from The Racing Post. or the opening shows.
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  #2  
Old 12th September 2006, 07:43 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Crackone,

Not sure if I tested this right ... can you explain the rules a bit clearer.

But if I did test is correctly I would steer away from it as it only came back with about 20% loss on turnover.

Good Luck.
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  #3  
Old 12th September 2006, 08:46 PM
Crackone Crackone is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
Crackone,

Not sure if I tested this right ... can you explain the rules a bit clearer.

But if I did test is correctly I would steer away from it as it only came back with about 20% loss on turnover.

Good Luck.
Just posted it as I received it, read though it once didn't interest me, as it was a free system didn't expect it to perform to well,
thanks for running it
cheers
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  #4  
Old 6th April 2007, 08:28 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Wouldn,t take much to bring this one into profit .
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  #5  
Old 6th April 2007, 08:34 AM
crash crash is offline
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If a horse has run 3rd. or 4th. in it's last 3 runs, one thing is for sure and that is it's not improving!
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  #6  
Old 6th April 2007, 09:58 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Depends on how many lengths it was beaten by.

i.e Same distance . .2nd LS 3rd beaten 4 lengths Last start 4th beaten 1.5 Lengths.

Cheers.
darky.
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