Saturday Perth races only (Ascot/Belmont). STAB Favourite at jump, Payout on best of three Totes and Starting price if possible.
I Started doing this 5 weeks ago with a $1000 bank and have been betting 5% of the bank with the intension of restarting at $1000 again once i reach $2000. So far after this weekend i just withdrew my first $1000 winnings. It is a well known fact that alot of favourites come in at perth but is it always this good. I dont think you would make a profit just on STAB prices though. Sometimes the winner had a very good starting price also, thats why i have been using best of three totes and SP.

Hi Nutter,
The following is NSW TAB (thats all I have)

2005-2007


Win Strike Rate/Seln. : 33.6%
Plc Strike Rate/Seln. : 66.3%
Average Win Dividend : $2.59
Average Plc Dividend : $1.38


Races: 1214
Wins: 408
Return: 1056
Loss: 158...13.01%

2005: -43.40 10%
2006: -31.20 8%
2007: -83.20 22%

Big losses to make up with Best Tote or Bookies. Good luck.

Thanks For That, Maybe i should stop whilst im ahead. From what i saw in the past 5 weeks is i tend to receive about 20% more on divs by best tote and SP. By Level stakes betting in the past 5 weeks i would be 16 points up, where as by increased stakes betting im 20 points up, if i bet at STAB i would be only 12 points up at level stakes. Maybe progression betting is the key.

3421 races
1056 winners
32.58% S/R
Loss 12.23%
Average dividend $2.69
Minimum Dividend $1.10
Maximum Dividend $6.40

2000 -10.07%
2001 -8.57%
2002 -23.14%
2003 -6.49%
2004 -13.30%
2005 -7.45%
2006 -4.59%
2007 -24.53%

As you can see, some years you lose more than 20%, some years you lose as little as 4.59%

Under 10% it would be quite possible to make a small percentage using best tote.

I'd recommend using Betfair and setting a price limit on your bets, if it's matched go ahead, if not, pass the race.

Sticking to hot favourites under $2.00 you only lose 7.83%, but you are far more likely to get "value" on the easy favourites. For example you won't get $3.00 about an even money shot, but you might just get $7.50 about a 5/1 shot.

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Thanks For That. I have never looked at betfair before, have seen alot written about it in here but as im from W.A I think thats the one place i cant bet, not completly sure though, does anyone know?

yeah i am pretty sure wa has legislation that you can not have an account with betfair. they are a restrictive bunch in perth.