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  #1  
Old 8th May 2008, 03:39 PM
ubetido ubetido is offline
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Default Need some help with this

Hi all

Still debating whether to stay on level stakes or not. Still considering the run of outs possibilities.

Any suggestions of a staking set up.

Thinking out aloud
should i go for the win and save on the place.
Should i consider only certain place odds

These figures are in time order. The results have been consistent month after month for quite a while. I am curious if there is a way with these results to extract a bit more other than from level stakes.

Not real interested in all up becuse if one misses you lose the whole lot of that progression.

This is the last 30 days bets on TAB. Yes Bhagwan am looking seriously at Betfair...lol

1ST $3.00 $1.50
2ND $0.00 $1.60
3RD $0.00 $2.10
1ST $3.10 $1.70
U/P $0.00 $0.00
3RD $0.00 $2.50
3RD $0.00 $1.50
2ND $0.00 $1.70
U/P $0.00 $0.00
U/P $0.00 $0.00
2ND $0.00 $1.30
2ND $0.00 $3.50
U/P $0.00 $0.00
2ND $0.00 $2.10
1ST $8.00 $3.30
U/P $0.00 $0.00
1ST $2.80 $1.40
U/P $0.00 $0.00
1ST $5.50 $1.70
1ST $18.40 $6.00
U/P $0.00 $0.00
2ND $0.00 $2.40
2ND $0.00 $1.90
1ST $16.80 $4.40
1ST $5.50 $2.30
U/P $0.00 $0.00
1ST $4.30 $1.40
1ST $2.20 $1.50
1ST $3.20 $1.50
U/P $0.00 $0.00
3RD $0.00 $1.80
3RD $0.00 $2.70
U/P $0.00 $0.00
2ND $0.00 $1.00
U/P $0.00 $0.00
U/P $0.00 $0.00
1st $5.00 $1.90
1st $5.60 $2.40
U/P $0.00 $0.00

Cheers
Ubetido
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Life should NOT be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in an attractive and well preserved body,but rather to skid in sideways, BEER in one hand- PIZZA in the other, body thoroughly used up, totally worn out and screaming WOO HOO!

Last edited by ubetido : 8th May 2008 at 03:45 PM.
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  #2  
Old 8th May 2008, 09:33 PM
wildtom wildtom is offline
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Default

just the place what pot or lot?
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  #3  
Old 9th May 2008, 02:22 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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That is an amazing result Ubetido, well done.
Can you say what the selection process is?

One may like to try betting 1w x 6plc = 7 units per race.

Betting 1/20th of bank.
e.g. 7 x 20 = 140 unit bank.

Adjust bet accordingly to bank at the beginning of a new day.
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Cheers.
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  #4  
Old 9th May 2008, 04:02 PM
ubetido ubetido is offline
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Hi

Thanks for that will look at it.

Bhagwan i don't really want to put the details on the open forum, Believe it or not still refining it slightly a few races i suspect i shouldn't be in.

Once finalised i'd be ok to share with you privately as you have given so much over time to the forum but i would like to wait so i don't make an idiot of myself another system type of thing.

As a general guideline though for the forum.

-It is between distances
-it looks at last three starts
-has a weight limit
-only includes certain ages
-track conditions (working on this one at the moment)
-barriers ( working on this one but there doesn't seem to be real evidence to disregard because of wide barriers at this stage)
-Is fairly selective average one bet per day over a period of time

Still working on the staking tend to be a little cautious when something relies on a very high srtike rate to make few bucks because it doesnt take much to tip you over if the run goes against you.

Cheers
U
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Life should NOT be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in an attractive and well preserved body,but rather to skid in sideways, BEER in one hand- PIZZA in the other, body thoroughly used up, totally worn out and screaming WOO HOO!

Last edited by ubetido : 9th May 2008 at 04:12 PM.
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  #5  
Old 11th May 2008, 02:58 PM
ubetido ubetido is offline
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Hi

Todays pick on the Sunshine coast race just run selection had wide barrier and has got up and won. Am finding a missed bag with barrriers.

Cheers
U
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  #6  
Old 11th May 2008, 08:18 PM
stugots stugots is offline
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hi ubetido,

ive developed a couple dozens systems over the years that have thrown up similar results to those youve listed, high strike rate, too good to be true, etc

my advice (for what its worth), hammer it hard now mate while its going good, cause she'll fall over sooner rather than later
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