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#1
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CP Algorithym
I have been looking at yet another neural system but unfortunately kept no records because there was not much action. However, over the past week or so it has thrown up quite a few selections, and they have performed well.
For example, there were 3 selections yesterday: Mackay R4 no.1 - second, paying $1.40 Seymour R5 no.2 - won, paying $3.60 and $1.40 Seymour R7 no.1 - won, paying $12.10 and $3.20. Amazingly, this was the pre-post fave. The rules are: 1 ) All runners with at least three starts. 2 ) Must be the outright top selection with the neurals at default/factory settings. 3 ) Must be the outright top CP selection. 4 ) Must be the pre-post fave, second or third-fave. If under 8 runners then it must be the fave or second-fave. I haven't checked selections that won their last two starts but I would omit them. I've also looked at a similar method using the top selections with the JA, JT and $ algorithyms but from what I can remember the CP algorithym easily outperformed them. As there are quite a few selections today I'll list them and see how they go... Bendigo R2 no.3 - De Mars. Ipswich R1 no.1 - Spectacular Pic Ipswich R5 no.2 - Norse Code Ipswich R6 no.1 - Simplest Ipswich R7 no.5 - Jellicles Ipswich R8 no.3 - Jackpot |
#2
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A disappointing day yesterday. I'll give it another go today...
Rosehill R5 no.1 - Nuclear Sky Eagle Farm R6 no.1 - Rampant Lion Morphetville R5 no.1 - El Maze Morphetville R7 no.6 - Magical Dane Moonee Valley R3 no.8 - Sand Sweeper Moonee Valley R6 no.3 - Innovation Moonee Valley R7 no.1 - Gunfire Messiah Benalla R1 no.8 - Moon Maiden Gold Coast R4 no.2 - Showciti Gold Coast R6 no.1 - Agrios Toowoomba R1 no.1 - Golden Flute Toowoomba R3 no.5 - Azzaland Belmont R1 no.2 - Superscenic Belmont R7 no.3 - Chachi. |
#3
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Michael,
If you are looking for another CP plan, one may like to test this idea. CP 3 DLR 3 PR 3 .Top selection Neural price must be $1.55.(maybe $1.60 but needs further research) before scratchings. .Must not have won its last 2 starts .Selections are worked out before scratchings. The idea here is that we are assuming a horse with rescent days racing should hold its peak current form longer than a horse which has had a longer break than average in days last start. All selections can be worked out the night before. Cheers.
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Cheers. |
#4
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Hi, Bhagwan.
It would seem that CF would be more appropriate than CP if we are looking at a horse with recent racing? Michael. |
#5
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Your right Michael, I made a typo.
Should read... CF DLR PRC All at 3 Cheers
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Cheers. |
#6
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I had a look at a similar method but this was before neural pricing existed on the website. The method was for horses whose last start was in the past 7 days and was also the top CF selection. Unfortunately it turned out to be very disappointing. However I might consider having a look at DLR with CP.
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#7
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Bhagwan, I've just had a look at today's racing using the CP, $ and PR algorithyms, and also ignoring scratchings.
There were no selections priced at $1.55 or lower, but there were 4 odds-on selections. Three of them won for a return of $6.60 but only paid $3.80 for the Place. There were 5 selections priced between $2.00 and $2.50 for one winner paying $2.40 but all placed for a return of $9.00. As it looks promising I'll list the selections tomorrow limiting them to a maximum price of $2.45. |
#8
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Michael,
Here is an example to help you out that is familiar to you: These are your selections up until you changed the selection criteria in this thread along with the prices from unitab. Kembla R1 no.1 - Atlantic Air = $3.40 Kembla R2 no.5 - Elastane = $9.10 Kyneton R3 no.4 - Road Novel = $3.20 Muswellbrook R2 no.1 - Scotch Gem = $2.70 Muswellbrook R4 no.6 - Ray. = $4.20 Mildura R1 no.4 - Samadji. ($1.40 pre-post). = $1.30 Casterton R2 no.6 - Portland Prophet = $2.30 Casterton R3 no.1 - Pasco = $2.10 Casterton R4 no.6 - Jarraconi = $3.20 Cranbourne R3 no.10 - Happy Honey = $8.60 Hobart R1 no.16 - aaaaa's Jubilee = $6.80 Hobart R3 no.6 - Special Resolution = $3.10 Kalgoorlie R1 no.3 - Voodoo Rocking = $1.80 Kalgoorlie R4 no.5 - Daughter's Demand = $6.80 Sun Coast R9 no.1 - Mystic Vibe = $2.90 Tamworth R3 no.3 - Katobar = $7.00 Tamworth 8 no.1 - Sir Winalot = $3.60 Taree R4 no.1 - Barons Court = $1.70 Rosehill R5 no.1 - Nuclear Sky = $3.90 Eagle Farm R6 no.1 - Rampant Lion = $4.20 Morphetville R5 no.1 - El Maze = $4.50 Morphetville R7 no.6 - Magical Dane = $4.30 Moonee Valley R3 no.8 - Sand Sweeper = $2.40 Moonee Valley R6 no.3 - Innovation = $8.30 Moonee Valley R7 no.1 - Gunfire Messiah = $3.50 Benalla R1 no.8 - Moon Maiden = $3.80 Gold Coast R4 no.2 - Showciti = $2.30 Gold Coast R6 no.1 - Agrios = $6.20 Toowoomba R1 no.1 - Golden Flute = $2.00 Toowoomba R3 no.5 - Azzaland = $1.50 Belmont R1 no.2 - Superscenic = $1.60 Belmont R7 no.3 - Chachi. = $2.20 Bendigo R2 no.3 - De Mars. = $3.30 Ipswich R1 no.1 - Spectacular Pic = $7.60 Ipswich R5 no.2 - Norse Code = $3.30 Ipswich R6 no.1 - Simplest = $2.30 Ipswich R7 no.5 - Jellicles = $1.40 Ipswich R8 no.3 - Jackpot = $5.10 Mackay R4 no.1 - = $3.00 Seymour R5 no.2 - = $4.20 Seymour R7 no.1 - = $13.00 Total number of winners = 14 Expected winners (sum of 1/price) = 13.57 CHI SQUARE RESULT = 88% chance that the results were due to luck. Based on that there is no reason to either keep or throw away the system Its still an unknown. Hope that helps you out .... Good Luck |
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