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#1
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![]() Following are my top 5 selections for Saturday 1 November 2008 and my next 4 for the same:
TOP 5 AWAPUNI R5 no8 TURFSTAR R6 no 10 BALLY HEIGHTS R10 no 1 VALHALLA FLEMINGTON R3 no 8 MOATIZE R9 no 8 HOT DANISH SECOND STRINGERS AWAPUNI R4 no 4 SKI R8 no 6 HAPPY VICTORY TE AWAMUTU R5 no 3 MR COOL R6 no 6 BLACKHALL |
#2
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![]() Top 5 (all up parlay IASbet prices)
Win: Outlay = $31 Return = $91.94 Place: Outlay = $31 Return = $299.85 Second Stringers Win Outlay = $15 Return = $30.20 Place Outlay = $15 Return = $7.36 |
#3
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![]() FLEMINGTON
R7 no 5 NOM DU JEU TRENTHAM R8 no 10 KUDDAM R10 no7 SPARTANICUS ELLERSLIE R3 no 8 GEEZA R10 no 10 KILIFI |
#4
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![]() Top 5 (All Up IASBET)
Win Bets Outlay = $31 Return = $0 Place Bets Outlay = $31 Return = $30.60 Progressive Win Outlay = $62 Reurn = $91.94 Place Outlay = $62 Return = $330.45 |
#5
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![]() Top 5
FLEMINGTON R1 no 1 ZIPANESE R2 no6 RAEBURN R6 no5 MISS SCARLATTI R9 no 2 ROCKPECKER HAWKESBURY R8 no 5 ALVERTA SECOND STRINGERS HAWKESBURY R9 no 7 TYRONE PRINCE FLEMINGTON R4 no 16 BELLE SOCIETY R5 no 10 BANKSDALE R8 no 2 GRAND DUELS |
#6
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![]() (IASBET prices for all up parlays)
TOP 5 Outlay: $31 win and $31 place Return = $4.30 win and $32.81 place Progressive: WIN OUTLAY $93 RETURN = $96.24 PLACE OUTLAY = $93 RETURN = $363.25 SECOND STRINGERS OUTLAY = $15 win and place RETURN = $0 Progressive: Outlay win and place = $30 Win Return = $30.20 Place = $7.36 |
#7
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![]() Think I'll have a go today after a week in hospital getting a knee replacement. For those of you who think it's like changing racing plates, think again. Anyway, enough of this racing metaphor stuff. They are:
NEWCASTLE R7 no 12 CONVENT HILL BUNBURY R7 no 8 UNDERTAKE DANE R8 no 1 DANGEROUS DANE HOBART R7 no 11 ESPRIT OF EVE R9 no 7 HEARTBREAK KID |
#8
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![]() Percentum, once again 1 unit EW level stakes produces an acceptable profit. Just as a matter of interest have you ever run the excercise of calculating the total amount staked over a period of time divided by the number of selections to arrive at an average stake per selection, and then see what the POT would have been had you placed this amount on each selection???? you see what I'm getting at?
Just food for thought, it took me 30+ years to get there! PS. I could do with a Knee, back, elbow, foot and hip replacement, and I wouldn't mind swapping this gut for a flat one, and maybe adding a few inches somewhere else! hee hee! Last edited by partypooper : 17th November 2008 at 01:40 AM. |
#9
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![]() Quote:
Partypooper, I actually haven't done any research tweaking these about and I have reached a stage in life where laziness is appealing. One thing I know I have to do is eliminate horses with just one start to their names as selections. Because they show up in my selection process I've been putting them in but, clearly, this is flawed. Before I started posting these I had a good 40/1 winner called Skirmish in one such bet (4 legs only, 2 won and all placed so return was really good). It had only had 3 starts and I think I might make this my minimum starts cut off point from now on. I think I'll curb my enthusiasm and stick to Saturdays and, perhaps, some cup meetings midweek like the approaching Ballarat Cup. The NZers who show up in my selections have excellent strength and depth in their form and will probably be the mainstays of the successes I have (if any) so I like there to be an accompanying NZ meeting. As for the spare parts. The getting I don't mind. The process is a bit of a worry though. I thought it'd be a simple pinfiring, out in the paddock to freshen up and then Bob's your uncle. Rehab exercises are painful and I keep finding diversions to avoid them. Sunday's Results OUTLAY: $31 W & P RETURN $7.95 W and $8.64 P |
#10
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![]() Percentum, I'm really sorry that you see it as *lazyness* I found the revelation as the opposite, i.e I tried every which way to show a better profit than level stakes, but everytime I applied the formula that I described in my last post (HONESTLY) level stakes won out every time!!
Most simply won't admit it, if I'm wrong on this occasion then I humbly accept defeat! |
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