Go to racingandsports - Don Scott ratings.

Mark down those horses asessed at odds on.

Todays price must be $2 or better.

Required time for this = 5 minutes.

I would apply this to Good tracks only.

Sunday 30/1/2011

Parkes
R1 H 1
R2 H 2
R 6 H 2

Devenport
R 4 H 10
R 8 H 6

Port Lincoln
R 1 H 2
R 3 H 4
R 7 H 6

10 Horse race after scratchings only.

Top 4 X 6 X 6

Cessknock Good TC )
Race 7 H 11

Stawell (Dead TC)
Race 1 H 7
Race 2 H 1
Race 3 H 6
Race 6 H 12
Race 8 H 9

All at $2 Minimum

Cheers
darky

darky,

I like your style and thinking. This post won't be noticed by many as it doesn't contain the big winners but I believe your system contains the most important aspects of being a winner.

1. You are using a tried and tested rating system (don scott's) to come up with logical horse selections.

2. You are finding selections that have a very good chance of winning. Odds on don scott ratings have a very good strike rate.

3. You are looking for value. (Must be higher then rated odds at $2 minimum)


That is all that is needed to grind out a profit. The one thing your missing though is numbers to back you up. So here you go:

For $1.99 and less don scott rating before scratchings and starting at $2 or higher :

486 selections for betfair return of $487 - $517

I think your a little too loose in your selections and I would propose you tighten up frm a 50% expectd win rate to those with better then a 66% chance of winning. This would be 1.50 or less :

202 selectons for a betfair return of $248 - $264

To the lurkers : Of course I could point you to the best exact cutoff but you need to work something out for yourself. BTW $1.50 is not the best cut off point. I'll tell you this though, the right cutoff produces a 66% profit and a 30% profit on tote figures.

Darky, I'll send you an email with the right cutoff point.

Good Luck.

darky,

couldn't find your email. email me psmiffy79@aol.com

Hi wesmip1,

If you don't mind, I'd also love to know the best cutoff, as it's an angle that has intrigued me for some time.

I'll email you also if that's ok?

The Schmile