I have been having major problems with my computer being suddenly disconnected from the net, and more major problems trying to re-connect. Because of this I've seldom been on this forum.

Anyway, I looked at a Lay system a few weeks ago but could not follow it up because of the computer problems.

If anyone can, could they please have a look at this from their data base?

1) The neural CP on a setting of 3.
2) All other categories on 0
3) The selection is odds-on in the neural market.

I've been able to check:

Wednesday
1 accident of $1.90 from 14 selections.

Thursday
3 selections for no accidents.

Today
1 selection for no accidents.
Still to run:
Albany 1/4
Albany 3/3
Queanbeyan 8/5

Thanks in advance.

michaelg,

I don't store the odds wfor neural settings as they differ when you change something.

If I can work out how they work out their market based on the cp values I can give you the results.

You got any ideas.

Thanjs for sharing your very interesting findings.

I have found with the Neurals, in the past, that the top selection will have many days in a row where they all fall over which is what we want them to do when Lay betting , then suddenly, it will hit 8 winners in a row , so be prepared to set max winning horses at 4 for the day when Lay betting , so we dont get hit with a possible 8+ winners on the day and give back all the profits.

__________________
Cheers.

Wesmip1, not knowing about data bases I assumed the figures would have been obtained prior to the start of racing. Unfortunately I don't on what factors how R & S calculate the CP points.

I also forgot to mention that when checking the results a few weeks ago that I omitted Black Type races.

Bhagwan, I lay horses on S.P. This eliminates the large liability from a horror accident, because the loss for an $2 accident is the same ($30) as a $100 accident.

Yesterday there was a $6.30 accident from the 4 selections, yet the 3 smiles would have had the method break about even.

I like this S.P. feature because outsiders can be layed for a loss of only $30 which is the minimum allowable liability.

In fact I am currently laying an outsiders system with S.P., and after 10 days there have been 108 selections for 108 smiles. The profit is $94.39 which means that if today I have 3 successive accidents the method would be $3.39 in profit. Yet if one of those accidents was a large one then the method could be in the red, and this is a strong posiblity because the majority of smiles have had a S.P. of well over $100.

Yes, Laying to Liability does work strongest, if the average price is
greater than $5.00.

Heres a simple Lay plan some may like to try using Fixed Liability.
It does work well.

RULES
Races with 1-9 runners.

Barriers 1-3
Replace with others if a scratching so that we have 3 horses to select from.

Lay the runner that is paying the most of the 3 horses from those 3 inside barriers.

Bet to Fixed Liability 1/15th of bank.

Stop once 1.5% profit is made for the day.
Over a week , that's 10.5% profit on bank.

__________________
Cheers.