For the last 2 weeks I have been entering results into my database, I have been noticing that of late there has been quite a few TAB NUMBER 1 horses winning at very big odds, considering that the top weight is meant to be the better horse, thus the highest weight, it's suprising to see the prices that are showing up, has anyone had a system to look at selecting the number one horse before

pete

UB's system tester since August last year:

There were 100159 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 8679 selections for the System
There were 8679 races for the System
There were 1370 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 15.79%
There were $7828.91 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-850.09 or a percentage profit/loss of -9.79%

Test Another System

The Rules used were : horseNumber = 1

I'm not sure if it has been updated in the last 2 weeks but I don't think the recent winners would make too much of a difference.

__________________
Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.”

― Earl Nightingale

It is usually the most overbet horse in the race but of course this is a general statement. There are times when they are underbet as you have seen.

Using my site you can see Number had

There were 8679 selections for the System
There were 8679 races for the System
There were 1370 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 15.79%
There were $7828.91 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-850.09 or a percentage profit/loss of -9.79%


Horse 2


There were 8726 selections for the System
There were 8726 races for the System
There were 1243 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 14.24%
There were $7952.4 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-773.6 or a percentage profit/loss of -8.87%
Test Another System The Rules used were : horseNumber = 2

Horse 3:



There were 8756 selections for the System
There were 8756 races for the System
There were 1131 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 12.92%
There were $8477.37 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-278.63 or a percentage profit/loss of -3.18%
Test Another System The Rules used were : horseNumber = 3

Horse Number 8:



There were 100159 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 7897 selections for the System
There were 7897 races for the System
There were 703 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 8.9%
There were $7341.28 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-555.72 or a percentage profit/loss of -7.04%
Test Another System The Rules used were : horseNumber = 8





I'll let you run other numbers but above I have chosen saddle clothes 2,3 and 8. As you can see all of these numbers do better then saddle cloth 1.

TAB 1, NR=1 & DS=1

There were 100159 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 724 selections for the System
There were 724 races for the System
There were 251 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 34.67%
There were $772.97 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $48.97 or a percentage profit/loss of 6.76%

Test Another System

The Rules used were : horseNumber = 1 and nrRank = 1 and donScottRank = 1

__________________
Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.”

― Earl Nightingale

Thanks,

Might see if there may be some other filters that may be used, I not going to dive in too deep, as it was just something i noticed as i was entering data.

Pete

There were 100159 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 609 selections for the System
There were 609 races for the System
There were 216 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 35.47%
There were $677.42 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $68.42 or a percentage profit/loss of 11.23%


The Rules used were : horseNumber = 1 and nrRank = 1 and donScottRank = 1 and daysLastStart <= 21

There was an good system I had on my laptop which backed the TAB 1 from Barrier one at certain track/distances

The Barrier one had a bias advantage particularly over the 1000m.

If interested I can send through the track/distances.

Here,s one from the Author Albert Kent.

2 YO
Top Weight
Fav
Won LS
Same distance as LS
Same Jockey

Cheers
darky

Vortech

Would be interested in the tracks that have a BARRIER ONE bias. Have done some research myself on this. Interested to see if we agree with tracks.

Regards
U

__________________
Life should NOT be a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving safely in an attractive and well preserved body,but rather to skid in sideways, BEER in one hand- PIZZA in the other, body thoroughly used up, totally worn out and screaming WOO HOO!

I'm trying to find the data on my laptop
I know Doomben 1000m was one.
I basically used R&S and the barrier stats
The 1000m there is a 10% stronger strike rate than any other barrier.