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  #1  
Old 30th August 2012, 01:32 PM
gunny72 gunny72 is offline
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Default api win% pla%

I have been playing around with api, win% and pla% and feel that they are equally important. Anyone any suggestions as to the relative importance of these figures?
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  #2  
Old 30th August 2012, 01:39 PM
garyf garyf is offline
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Smile

Yes they are important.


I actually get better results by listing,
Their rankings rather than an individual figure.

This is more accurate for me as i bet in higher class,
Races and for me gives a more accurate guide.

Others may find the other way better.

I only include them as a filter to improve profits,
Not as an actual selection criteria however.

Cheers.
Garyf.
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  #3  
Old 30th August 2012, 02:08 PM
Barny Barny is offline
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I've found API 2 to 5 gives a better POT than including the top ranked API horse. I don't like the Place% as much as Win%, I think it's overdone.
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  #4  
Old 30th August 2012, 09:24 PM
Star Star is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Barny
I've found API 2 to 5 gives a better POT than including the top ranked API horse. I don't like the Place% as much as Win%, I think it's overdone.

I do not have anything to offer, but to acknowledge the above by Barny.

I am having no luck with any of the filters I use, infact they all appear to be a winner in a lay system.

eg. A horse at Mornington today was the only qualifier in the race. Yep, you guessed it. It was gone six hundred metres from home and was tailed off at the finish.

Star
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  #5  
Old 31st August 2012, 03:33 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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All form is suspect this time of year.
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  #6  
Old 31st August 2012, 07:40 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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I have found that its not a bad idea to ignore the Top ranked API because it always seems to struggle just to break even & is usually very lowly priced.
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  #7  
Old 31st August 2012, 10:40 AM
Vortech
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From Bet Selector

The best POT for Win% is between 61 to 70%. Around a 7% loss

The best POT for Place% is between 81 to 90%. 9% loss
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  #8  
Old 31st August 2012, 02:34 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Vortech,
A good base.
Thank you.
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  #9  
Old 31st August 2012, 02:35 PM
Barny Barny is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vortech
From Bet Selector

The best POT for Win% is between 61 to 70%. Around a 7% loss

The best POT for Place% is between 81 to 90%. 9% loss

I get 14.06% LOT for between 60 and 70% Win S/R.

I recently tested a system posted on here that claimed a 155% POT ..... I got a 20.16% LOT. I think some databases just like handing out good news !!!!!
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  #10  
Old 31st August 2012, 02:46 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Hi Barny,
And some the bad news.
Hope you were on the "Gravy Train " with my daily 2 races today.
1 race to come but the 1st race I took the $13.

For your interest I,ve posted the selections for the 2 BEST systems in the World on the Tipping contest thread.

Whats that."Let me at em"?

Last edited by darkydog2002 : 31st August 2012 at 02:51 PM.
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