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#1
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Lay Don Scott's Outsiders
The rules I'm using:
1) $100-plus in D.S. market. 2) Didn't win at last start. 3) Not resuming at this or previous start. 4) Minimum of two career starts. 5) Placed 6th or worse at last start. Today's selections: Warwick Farm 3/1 5/9 6/1, 12 8/10 Caulfield 2/7 3/4 7/5 Eagle Farm 2/4 3/11 4/10 6/6, 10 7/10, 18 Morphetville 2/7 5/10 8/11, 13, 14 Hawkesbury 1/1 2/3 4/11 6/5 Gunnedah 1/4 3/9, 10, 11 4/10, 12 5/6, 10 6/1, 9, 11, 12, 13 7/8, 14 Wagga 1/8, 11, 12 3/6, 7, 11 4/4, 11 5/1, 11 13, 15 6/12, 13 Gold Coast 3/4 6/4, 5 7/6, 9, 10 8/5, 7 Toowoomba 1/1, 5 2/7, 8, 9 6/4, 5 7/3, 6 Cranbourne 2/8 5/7 Ascot 2/2, 3, 5, 7 4/3, 9 5/7, 10 7/10/12 8/7, 9. There's quite a few selections at single prices in the Tele market. |
#2
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Not a bad day - there were 73 smiles from the 74 selections for a profit of $47.58.
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#3
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Today's selections:
Hobart 1/5, 15 2/4, 11, 14, 15 4/6 5/7 7/10, 12 Geraldton 1/7, 8, 10 2/5,15 3/2 4/2, 4, 6 5/2, 6, 9 6/1 7/5 Kembla 2/13 3/16, 17 4/4, 20 5/11 6/4, 6, 8, 16 7/11 8/10 Murray Bridge 1/5 3/1, 11 4/2, 10 5/5, 6 6/1 7/4, 8, 10, 11, 12 8/4, 6, 7, 14 Sun Coast 2/2, 3 4/5, 16 5/2 7/11 8/12 Queanbeyan 1/6 2/6, 7 4/11 5/4, 6, 7, 11, 12, 13 ,14 6/6, 11 7/2, 11 Swan Hill 1/7 4/2, 6, 10, 11 6/4, 7, 9, 12, 14 7/2, 9 14, 15 Wodonga 2/9 3/7 4/2, 3, 6, 7, 8 5/9 6/1, 3, 8 7/1, 12 8/10 |
#4
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Congrats michaelg. There's a heck of a lot of selections there. I hope it goes well for you.
__________________
Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.” ― Earl Nightingale |
#5
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Thanks, T.O.
Yesterday was a bad day, there were two accidents for a loss of about $45. However the method is still $25 in profit. Over the past four days there's been four accidents. Two of them were horses that ran sixth at their last start, so from today the new filter is that it must have run seventh or worse at last start. And yesterday Swan Hill 6/7 showed in the Tele that it was not resuming from a spell yet it did so in the Unitab ratings, so also from today I'll look at Unitab when determining the "spell" factor. If I had applied these filters from commencement then the profit would have been close to $80. |
#6
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Todays selections:
Taree 2/2 3/4 4/1, 2, 4, 10 6/5, 11 7/2, 6, 10 8/6, 8, 11 Ararat 1/1, 2 2/2, 5, 7, 9, 12 3/16 4/7, 9, 12 6/8 7/4, 9, 11, 15 I've tightened one of the rules so that the selection must have finished seventh or worse at it's lat start. To compromise, I've relaxed two rules - the selection may have had a minimum of only one career start and the selection may also have resumed from a spell at it's previous start, even though I'll be monitoring them. Surprisingly quite a few of today's selections are high in Unitab's ratings, Taree 8/6 has 100 Unitab points. Last edited by michaelg : 3rd December 2012 at 11:39 AM. |
#7
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Hi Michaelg,
Top show thus far!! 6 winning days in a row there's bound to be one or two corrections but I sincerely hope the upward trend continues!!! Just checking I have the rules you are presently using right: 1) $100-plus in D.S. market. 2) Not resuming at this or previous start. 3) Minimum of two career starts. 4) Placed 7th or worse at last start. 5) Minimum 9 starters.
__________________
The Schmile "I buy when other people are selling.” ― J. Paul Getty |
#8
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Hi, T.S.
A couple of minor changes which I have been using for most of the period. 1) If any horse has 3.5 points or more in the Form column of the Worksheet then it does not qualify, 2) The selection may have only the one career start. If more than one then it must not be resuming now or at previous start. I have often been laying for more than the standard $33 which I record here just for convenience. From today I have layed the early selections for a standard $333 and expect do so for the later selections. |
#9
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Thanks for clarifying Michaelg!!
__________________
The Schmile "I buy when other people are selling.” ― J. Paul Getty |
#10
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Quote:
If you'd have started at this level from the beginning of the trial your profit would be approx $2900. Tasty.
__________________
The Schmile "I buy when other people are selling.” ― J. Paul Getty |
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