Has anyone researched whether certain race tracks suit say front runners, while other courses produce tight finishes more often? If so do you think speed maps of races held on a particular course reflect this bias?
Always looking for that couple of per cent edge!!!
Cheers RP

I haven't done that sort of research but I can say from experience that outsiders get up more often and semi-consistently on the South African tracks.

Apart from those tracks I find most other tracks (all around the world as covered by betfair) are similar in the distribution of winners through the odds ranges.

UK race courses have their little book with the bias on every track with every barrier and distance. I know that this is available here as well but seldom utilized. A UK trainer will pull his horse if he gets a particular barrier in a race because he knows it is a race to nowhere.

If you check the course stats on R&S you will see a summary of where every winner was on the turn at every distance at that course. I've been using it ever since I started betting in running.

Best tracks for laying......those that race on days with an 'a' in them.

SpeedyBen,

I've started looking at using those figures myself, do you or anyone else for that matter have these figures in excel already or know a fast and easy way to get them there without manually entering them?

In particular i'm looking at using the conditions tabs to seperate the results out as well. (i.e. Good/Dead and Slow/Heavy) for each distance at each track. Tedious task if I have to do it manually but I will end up doing it that way if no other option becomes available.

I'm looking at taking a very structured and systematic approach to coming up with some ratings and this is one of the elements i'll be including. Also been reading a lot about speed and pace on US websites which i know doesn't directly correlate to aus racing but its very insightful and intersting. There really is some great stuff out there if you look hard enough.

Speedy, that's a gem!! I've never realised these sort of stats existed on a individual course basis. Based on a first glance, why wouldn't you Back a ride K Mallyon's on 54% POT and Lay a ride D Weir trains -48.9% POT at Kyneton?
Thanks mate, RP

Email Sent Speedy

If you wish to do this seriously there is a goldmine hiding in the R&S in running stats. Spend a couple of weeks watching races while armed with the stats showing how the leaders and first 4 on pace runners go at the course/ distance you are watching. Take particular note how favourites go when they lead at favourable/ unfavourable CDs. If you can read the ease ( or otherwise ) with which the leader is going by the jock's arm movements then the world is your oyster.
The longest price I have got in running on a leader which won is $33.