Found an old system that used to perform pretty well some years ago.Maybe someone with an extensive database could suss it out and see if it is still viable.
Rule 1)Perth races distance 1000/1200 only
Rule 2)Must be last start winner
Rule 3)Track rating MUST be fast
Rule 4)Must have raced in last 15 days
Rule 5)Drawn no wider than barrier 8
Rule 6)MUST be 2/1 or better
Rule 7)Eliminate any races with more than 2 last start winners
I would suggest a progressive staking plan as follows:
1-2-3-4-6-10-16
This is a 7 bet series,and a winner at 2/1 anywhere in the sequence puts us in profit.
When A winner is struck rule off and begin a new series.
It may well work on other tracks,but I found it performed better in Perth years ago,mainly because of the consistency of their weather,and only betting on Ascot and Belmont.
Would be most interested in any feedback,MO??

Yeah, I think I remember a system like that especially for Perth racing. Let's face it, that Fast track rule would rule out using it in most other places.

From a quick look, I reckon R8-7 Silver Rolls today. Good chance.

Sportz,thanks mate
don't how that selection went,just got home.
Yes you are spot on don't think it would be applicable anywhere else because the fast track rule

Hasn't run yet. Let's see how it goes though. Could be a nice system to follow.

Ooops, no good. We should still keep monitoring this one in future though.

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-10-20 19:51 ]

I've done a run against Ascot and Belmont from the start of 1998 to the present.

Using the exact system you put forward:
1086 bets, 171 wins, 896 units returned for a 17.5% loss.

Forget the barrier constraint:
1506 bets, 245 wins, 1351 units returned for a 10.28% loss.

Use 6-4 or better instead of 2-1 or better:
1675 bets, 306 wins, 1513 units returned for 9.66% loss.
A little better and a few more bets.

I tried tweaking the other factors without any success except for the raced within 15 days rule. As you tighted the requirement down towards raced within 8 days the return improves to a slight profit but the number of bets falls off a lot making it a long wait between bets.

These figures are based on the SP at the jump so if you can snag anything more than 10 percent better prices any time before the race you will be coming out ahead.
Sorry I didn't test it with the staking plan - too much programming too little time.

Hope this helps.

K V

Thanks for the info.

KV,cheers mate for your time and effort.Looks like another one bites the dust!Back to the drawing board!