On your website you tipped El mirada for the all aged stakes..after looking at the field and weights i found out that there was a 7.5 kg turn around in favour of Sunline. What are your thoughts? do you still believe there is a tip for el mirada?

El Mirada defeated Sunline in the race last year with the same weight scale as today. But Sunline had to recover from travel, having raced in Dubai only four weeks earlier.

Basically on our site it was pointed out what a top run El Mirada put in the Doncaster. If El Mirada runs up to that performance it will put in a bold run today. After five runs in the 7YO should be at its peak.

Clearly the horse with the best winning chances by far in the All Aged, and this is not saying anything enlightening, is Sunline. What % winning chance Sunline has though - 50%, 60%, 80% or even a higher % chance of winning is debatable.

That's what makes markets.

It may well be that not one horse is worth betting in the race - all are offered at prices below their winning chances. That often happens because the betting market is over 100%

[ This Message was edited by: quapi on 2002-04-06 11:26 ]