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  #1  
Old 21st December 2004, 10:16 AM
Benny Benny is offline
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Default First 3 in the Tipters Poll

I have been watching the first 3 in the poll for a couple of weeks.

The results are: 108 selections for 25 winners a strike rate of 23% which is not bad. I will contine to watch this.

Benny
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  #2  
Old 21st December 2004, 10:21 AM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Have you also looked at eliminating any horse which is picked on top by all the journos.
Some great value in their alternate selections.

Nudge Nudge Wink Wink (Coat tug).
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  #3  
Old 21st December 2004, 10:32 AM
Mark Mark is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Benny
I have been watching the first 3 in the poll for a couple of weeks.

The results are: 108 selections for 25 winners a strike rate of 23% which is not bad. I will contine to watch this.

Benny



108 selections means you've only looked at 36 races. Much too small a sample to get carried away with Benny, as 1 Saturday alone will give you more than 36 races.
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  #4  
Old 29th December 2004, 05:32 PM
Benny Benny is offline
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The results up to 27/12 are 45 winners from 202 selections still around 22.3% s.r

I'm not yet ready to bet as this is just a small sample. I may bet after 3 months results.

Benny
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  #5  
Old 2nd January 2005, 09:37 AM
topsy99 topsy99 is offline
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one of the reasons i dont look at this type of method is that it has a selection in every race. makes a punter flat out like a duck paddling
take it easy - have fun. and we dont learn anything other than betting someone else's picks.

i recall the old royal routine system which someone gave me in 1962
it had a shilling on the first selection of each tipster with a minimum of 10 tipsters in the newspaper poll. e.g. 10 lines running on each race talk about a major project.
i never did find out if it worked or if anyone else ever made it work.
does anyone out there know?
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laurie
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  #6  
Old 2nd January 2005, 02:20 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile darkydog2002

TOPSY. That was the first system I ever bought.A complete dud.

Did you ever try the PATARINA.?Always wanted to know about this one.
Cheers .
darky
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  #7  
Old 2nd January 2005, 02:48 PM
Mark Mark is offline
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Ah the good old Royal Routine.
Not the fastest way to the poor house, but you get there eventually.
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  #8  
Old 4th January 2005, 02:14 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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is that a 22%sr for the top 3 horses...backing 3 horse a race is that what you mean....whats the average dividend....my top selection alone has a 23% SR and i am still losing money on it....my top 3 has a 64% SR with evearge divi of $5.35
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  #9  
Old 4th January 2005, 02:59 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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I think he means a 22% strike rate for each individual horse, so I guess that's 66% strike rate per race (give or take a bit for scratchings).
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  #10  
Old 4th January 2005, 04:28 PM
La Mer La Mer is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
I think he means a 22% strike rate for each individual horse, so I guess that's 66% strike rate per race (give or take a bit for scratchings).


I doubt that there would be a 66% strike-rate - a strike-rate of that nature defies the maths and my experiecne of the tipsters poll would be that the top-selection would win more than the second, which in turn would win more than the third etc. My estimation would be that the strike-rate would be closer to 50% for the top-three.

Similar with Shaun's comments - with a 23% strike-rate the claim of 64% in the top-three does not hold-up unless there are a very small number of selections - simply in deference to the maths of it all.
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