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Old 9th January 2005, 10:02 AM
Jimmy Jimmy is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Queensland
Posts: 47
Question Place percentages/Place market

There has been discussion recently relating the expected winning percentages of favs compared to tote price.

What are the expected place percentages compared to tote prices?

With a bookies/fixed tote market, win/place prices are linked. Normal tote win/place prices can be very different.

Therefore my question concerns expected chances of placing compared to tote prices and anomolies between win and place. For example: Two horses favs in 2 separate 10 horse fields :

Race A: W$4.50 P$1.50
Race B: W$2.00 P$1.50


Obviously 2 different expectations of winning from the tote prices but place expectation or chances according to the tote are similar ???

Very simplistic and you need to monitor the tote until the jump but has anyone followed any similar thoughts.

Jimmy
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Old 9th January 2005, 10:26 AM
BJ BJ is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 479
Default Unknown

The place market is unknown.... It can change big time, but if you can read it correctly there is much to be made... (good luck...)

I personally like to back dogs showing less than $1.30 for the win, and I will back them for the place... Many times they will pay the $1 but it is surprising how many dogs pay eg...$1.3Win $1.7Place.
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