Gday All

As ever I am looking for different angles... the following are untried... I am posting them to see if the "Forum Curse" kills this idea too

Monday - 7 February

Grafton

Race 2 2:24 PM Big Brother Maiden Handicap
1 Thanks Be To God

Race 4 3:35 PM Rove Live Handicap Class 3
3 Cool Caboul

Race 5 4:10 PM The X-Factor Handicap Class 5
6 Simply Viv
1 In The Nick
4 Lord Vasey

Race 6 4:50 PM Southern Cross Ten Handicap Open
5 Sensache

Race 7 5:30 PM Australian Idol Handicap Class 2
7 Probation

Horsham

Race 1 1:00 PM Mixx F M Maiden Plate Set Weight 3yo+
8 Mezaire
2 Desert Drummer
7 Con Kiss Dior

Race 2 1:36 PM Horsham Hire Maiden Plate Set Weight 3yo+
10 Gateway Lass

Race 3 2:12 PM Wimmera Mail Times Maiden Plate Set Weight 3yo+
1 Dreja

Race 4 2:48 PM Wimmera Design & Print Handicap Class 2
7 Wild Chilli

Race 6 4:00 PM St Kilda Rd Parkview Hotel Handicap Class 4
Apprentices Cannot Claim.
4 Balletamis
3 Sugar Foot Stomp

Race 7 4:40 PM Royal Hotel Handicap Class 3
3 Mypollonga
1 Loanshark
9 Cloudy Horizon

Muswellbrook

Race 1 1:24 PM Linga Longa Hotel Maiden Plate Set Weight 3yo+
5 Our Liam

Race 3 2:36 PM Muswellbrook Hotel Handicap Class 4
7 Serene Beau
3 Huckleberry Bay
6 Ticklicker

Race 4 3:15 PM Muswellbrook Hoteliers Day Out Handicap Open
2 Incident

Race 5 3:50 PM Victoria Hotel Moonan Flat Maiden Handicap
3 Clantastic
4 Birubi Pomp

Race 6 4:25 PM Royal Hotel Muswellbrook Handicap Class 4
2 Jamaica Farewell

Race 7 5:05 PM Tourist Hotel Sandy Hollow Handicap Class 1
3 Oriental Chef
1 Magic Snow
5 Princess Grey

Race 8 5:45 PM Eatons Hotel Muswellbrook Handicap Class 2
4 Reluctant Prince
3 Dextrovert
8 Pimpala General

__________________
Good luck and good punting

xptdriver@hotmail.com

Not confident today, but here's some of my thoughts:

MUSWELLBROOK
R1 - 5 OUR LIAM, 3 Deceitful Judge, 9 Coniston Mover (5,3,9,1,4)
R5 - 1 ELROY, 3 Clantastic, 4 Birubi Pomp, 2 Shackles (1,3,4,2,12,7)
R7 - 3 ORIENTAL CHIEF, 2 Phan, 4 Herbatome (3,2,4,1,5)
R8 - 1 RUNNING JEANS, 4 Reluctant Prince, 3 Dextrovert (1,4,3,5,8)

GRAFTON
R3 - 1 SUN AND SAND, 2 What's The Scoop, 3 Lanzo (1,2,3,5,4,8)
R4 - 4 COSMIC DREAM, 1 Inside Knowledge, 8 Starlactic (4,1,8,3,7,5)
R5 - 6 SIMPLY VIV, 6 Wakomba, 1 In The Nick (6,5,1,2,3)
R6 - 2 SIR DAN, 12 Port And Brandy, 1 So Equal (2,12,1,10,3,5)
R7 - 5 FINAL OBJECTIVE, 1 Ashbury, 7 Probation (5,1,7,6,12,14)

Thanks, Sportz, Xpt.

Regards,


Glenn

__________________
There's something happening here, what it is ain't exactly clear.

Retired or retarded? Much the same. I'm retired...

DAMN!!!! When I worked out the ratings this morning, I actually had Dublin Lights rated 5th, but when it came to posting my tips, I left it out altogether. STUPID MOVE! Was very confident about Elroy though.

Gday Sportz.

In that race, using my standard ratings I had em 3-1 (rated at $4.00) -4-12-2-9.. I am trying a filter on my top 6 to see how it goes... it isn't a total failure just yet, but I am still not in front at this stage using this filter... Having said that it returned a pretty nice profit yesterday of about 20%

__________________
Good luck and good punting

xptdriver@hotmail.com

I've only recently begun working out ratings on a more regular basis and sometimes I just don't tend to trust what they come up with. A good example is the next race at Grafton. My ratings actually came out like this:

2 Sir Dan 55.0
10 Diamond And Ice 54.0
11 Postcard Bandit 53.0
12 Port And Brandy 51.0
3 Autumn Showers 50.0
1 So Equal 48.0
5 Sensache 48.0

But for some reason, when I actually posted my tips, I dropped Diamond And Ice down a couple of spots and left Postcard Bandit out altogether.

Gday Sportz,

Mypollonga put me in profit... yay..

In regards to ratings, I reckon if you have something that works for ya, you have to trust what it spits out at times, even tho they might seem a bit off kilter... those off kilter ratings can sometimes mean the difference between a profit and a loss.. I think most capable people can produce a set of ratings that puts the fav at the head of the list... I do that a lot.. but it takes a different eye or whatever that can come up with ratings that give you good priced winners, and they don't have to agree with the crowd's perception of a race (wish I could do that more often)

As it turns out flicking Postcard Bandit was a good idea... I didnt come close with my ratings...Sir Dan and Choccy Starfish WERE the class horses and they quinelled the race , but first up and the other with 60 kg... not for me... oh well bring on the next race

__________________
Good luck and good punting

xptdriver@hotmail.com

Hmmm, I usually use an excel spreadsheet for my ratings, but today, I just quickly scribbled them down in a notebook. Silly thing to do, because I've just noticed that I didn't add up correctly and Chocolate Starfish actually should have been rated ahead of both So Equal and Sensache for that race. It should have been:

2 Sir Dan 55.0
10 Diamond And Ice 54.0
11 Postcard Bandit 53.0
12 Port And Brandy 51.0
3 autumn Showers 50.0
6 Chocolte Starfish 48.5

In the end, I simply decided to take a small 'any2' bet with Sir Dan as banker from 10, 11 & 12. Paid $14.80 for 2 & 10 so not bad.