Gday All,

back to reality... here are todays races as I see them... good luck to you all..
COWRA

Race1-VALLEY HOTEL MDN PLATE
8 $3.4 COUNTRY KID
1 $6.1 RICH ADVENTURE
7 $8.1 CHA CHA'S ANGEL
3 $10.7 SCHOOL FEES
2 $10.7 REWEIGH

Race2-IMPERIAL HOTEL MDN HCP
1 $2.7 BOSSIE PRINCE
5 $3.6 COUNT DE LOOT
9 $6.4 SEVENTH AVENUE
8 $8.3 OUR MADDY
3 $11.0 AMBER WAY

Race3-HUTCHEON & PEARCE HCP (C4)
1 $3.4 MISTER UNIQUE
5 $3.4 INDIANA SPARKLE
2 $4.6 SANSADEE
4 $6.1 TURON

Race4-WATER DYNAMICS MDN PLATE
8 $3.1 PASIPHAE
3 $4.2 TOWER OF PISA
4 $5.6 CASTILLE
6 $9.8 WELL WICKED
5 $9.8 DUNTRYLEAGUE

Race5-LACHLAN STEEL INDUSTRIES (C2)
8 $3.1 SLOUCH
2 $4.1 CARMANAH
4 $5.5 RAY'S WAY
3 $7.4 MARWIN ROYAL
7 $9.7 LUSKIN LINE

Race6-TOWN HOUSE HOTEL MOTEL HCP-C1
1 $4.4 GLENLEE
8 $4.4 STONE OF HEAVEN
9 $5.9 GRANDMARTIN
4 $7.9 LOCAL HONOUR
2 $10.5 DOUG'S PICK
11 $10.5 SOUTHERN HEIGHTS

Race7-COWRA SERVICES CLUB HCP
1 $2.9 PROVAAGE
3 $3.9 COURTINA
4 $6.9 A SLICK PICK
2 $9.1 ANDTOLD

Race8-KOORAWATHA HOTEL HCP (C5)
1 $2.6 LINGA LONGA
2 $4.7 AVENUE TOLDA
3 $6.3 SPONTANE
4 $8.2 GYPSY BATTALIA

DOOMBEN

Race1-RON ROBERTSON MDN HCP
2 $1.9 CHELSEANN
3 $3.4 PIC 'N' MIX
4 $6.0 TREMORS
6 $15.0 VETTORI'S IMAGE

Race2-INCITEC PIVOT MDN HCP
4 $2.9 MARDI MAGRAR
1 $5.1 SPEED BUMP
2 $6.8 DANKWILA
10 $6.8 BOODINI
3 $9.0 MISTER SANTORO

Race3-B105 GIRLS DAY OUT 2/4 MDN HCP
1 $2.8 BIG MICK
5 $3.7 GEOFF'S RACER
4 $4.9 RECKON I'M READY
2 $8.6 COURANTE

Race4-TRIPLE M BRISBANE CARNIVAL MDN
16 $2.9 BOLD SWEEPER
5 $2.9 MR CLANG
8 $7.0 SACRIFICES
7 $12.0 OODLES 'N' OODLES
3 $12.0 TOBY LAROAN

Race5-BOOK NOW-GALA DINNER 27/4 (C2)
5 $2.8 PERSUADES
1 $3.7 CITICO
4 $4.9 ALL IN ORDER
7 $6.6 MINI MATILDA
2 $8.6 NENG RAIN

Race6-CARLTON DRAUGHT HCP (C3)
3 $2.4 MY BEST TYCOON
8 $4.4 CHASTISE
6 $5.8 WAIKATO
4 $7.6 FINDER PAGE

Race7-PETER LAUDER 60TH B/DAY HCP-C3
1 $3.9 MIKAN
2 $5.2 PICAPLACE
7 $5.2 CLASSY DARCY
4 $7.0 DELAGO DUMPER
5 $7.0 BARONIAL

Race8-X X X X GOLD HCP (C1)
1 $2.2 LET'S DEVOWER
2 $3.9 MELODY BAY
5 $5.2 ASH FRIDAY
8 $16.0 ROYAL FLAIR

ECHUCA

Race1-HARVEY WORLD TRAVEL MDN PLATE
3 $3.7 CALLER ONE
5 $4.9 FIELD HUNTER
6 $6.6 FINLAYSON
11 $8.8 RUNAWAY DANGER
8 $11.0 PHANTOM TENOR

Race2-HOLIDAY INN MELB. AIRPORT MDN
2 $2.9 CABARET LADY
11 $3.9 SKATERS WALTZ
3 $5.2 CHRONIC ADDICTION
1 $9.1 ANY DANE NOW

Race3-TOOHEYS NEW HCP (C1)
2 $2.0 RURAL LAW
3 $3.6 DANDY SCENE
1 $6.4 RED KARO
6 $11.0 KYIV PRINCE

Race4-CLASSIC ROCK 102.5 F M HCP-C2
1 $2.2 SIZZLED
4 $5.1 HI SIERRA
2 $6.7 THUNDER GEIGER
8 $6.7 REGAL SAPPHIRE
7 $9.0 CHIEN DE CHAT

Race5-BORDER INN MOAMA HCP (C1)
APPRENTICE RIDERS
1 $2.0 BLITXAAR
10 $3.6 FLYING GRANGE
6 $6.3 SHE'S JUST ACE
2 $11.0 SWEEDAN

Race6-DENILIQUIN R S L HCP (C4)
2 $4.0 BRONTE DANCER
5 $4.0 FORD'S CREEK
3 $5.3 HAPUNA
6 $7.1 BOLD DECEIVER
4 $9.5 VALLEY OF KINGS
1 $9.5 DOUBLEM

Race7-HOLIDAY INN MELB. AIRPORT (C3)
3 $3.3 TOTAL HARMONY
8 $4.4 RIVER SWING
5 $4.4 FONTEYN STAR
2 $5.8 BELLA CHELLE
4 $7.8 GO RUBY GO

Race8-SOUTHERN CROSS 10 MDN PLATE
8 $3.5 MUKARAM
13 $3.5 ABBASINGA
14 $6.3 GAME CHOICE
1 $8.3 A TAD COOL

NOWRA

Race1-SITA RECYCLING MDN HCP
5 $2.6 DELIGHTFUL EMBRACE
8 $4.7 CLEAN AS A WHISTLE
4 $6.3 DRAGON GENERAL
7 $8.2 ENTER MY MIND
15 $11.0 THE WEE LASS

Race2-SITA BUILDER'S BINS HCP (C3)
1 $2.8 GOTTI
2 $3.8 LAFAYETTE EXPRESS
4 $5.0 SEROE COLORADO
3 $8.8 DISARRAY
6 $8.8 JUST LANDING

Race3-SITA AUSTRALIA HCP (C4)
1 $2.5 HAVENO
4 $4.4 CORUNNA
3 $5.9 KIMMY
2 $7.8 SIGHTSEER
6 $10.4 KING OF ILLAWARRA

Race4-SITA CUSTOMERS FIRST MDN PLATE
13 $3.2 A REAL DEAL
1 $4.3 BURMARRAD
4 $4.3 YAKIDAH
10 $5.8 GOOD QUESTION
11 $10.1 MARWINEAT

Race5-SITA ALTERNATIVE TECH. HCP-C2
2 $3.3 CLEVER SHOT
1 $4.4 IT'S RAINING MONEY
3 $5.9 ONLY VANDA
4 $5.9 CATERINA LANE
6 $10.4 ZANZARA BANK

Race6-SITA - NOWRA NEVER PRELUDE
8 $1.7 WAKAMIYA
3 $5.3 JADE PRINCE
9 $9.4 NIGHT BEFORE DAWN
1 $13.0 CAPRI


Race7-SITA LANDFILL SERVICES HCP-C1
3 $3.4 DE COVETOUS
1 $3.4 BROOKE'S LOOKS
2 $6.0 UNLOCKED
5 $8.0 ANCIENT SUNLIGHT
7 $10.5 SYDNEY SYMPHONY

Race8-SITA SCHOOLS RECYCLING MDN HCP
7 $2.4 ZERO'S CHOICE
14 $4.2 I'M A PHANTOM
9 $7.5 BOCCA ROCCA
6 $10.4 STYLISH STRYKER

__________________
Good luck and good punting

xptdriver@hotmail.com

Hi X ..hope to fill the coffers for tomorrows races

Cowra. Stone Of Heaven
Echuca . Sizzled, Blixtar
Nowra. Lafayette Express
Doomben . Melody Bay , Neng rain.

Have been blown away this week with my last bets of the day all backed for a stack running 2nd ..Quessadilla, Caulfield Jim and yesterday Kid October..

Today its Melody Bay ..whats the odds it'll run 2nd

How about last ??

Thanks Betsy ...should get something for that !! it's not easy picking last place...
Not sure about my confidence in Mr Dale Sutton and his ability to place horses or even train them...hope he hasn't ruined Algorithym..

oh well a couple of winners today No damage done ...can't wait to tomorrow
..going through the videos now.
Talous latrecs last run was huge ..

Keep up the good work X ...i've been using your ratings and using them in exotics for a bit of fun ...got me a couple of nice collects

Gday mav,

TOULOUSE LAUTREC may well win, but by jeez it is going to be well under what it should be... for me that race looks like it could be an upset race, some of those old heartbreakers may run the race of their lives.. it is a wide open race, but TL WILL be very short and will represent no value.. but get on if ya think it is a good thing... there is nothing wrong with backing winners

I am glad we can help get some people nice collects... things have been going ok of late... wheels due to fall off anytime now...

__________________
Good luck and good punting

xptdriver@hotmail.com

where's Betsy on my Good days

I haven't had much time to study them today, but here's just a few races that I thought could be okay today.

ECHUCA R5
Top picks: 6 SHE'S JUST ACE & 1 BLITXAAR
Value: 10 Flying Grange
6,1,10 - 9,2,3

ECHUCA R8
Top picks: 1 A TAD COOL & 13 ABBASINGA
Value: 14 Game Choice
1,13,14 - 8,3,9

DOOMBEN R8
Top picks: 1 LET'S DEVOWER & 2 MELODY BAY
Value: 9 What A Dude
1,2,9 - 6,8,11

By the way, it looks like Blake Shinn could be good to follow today at Echuca. 6 good rides.

Many thanks.
I am onto something here.
Cheers.
darky.

Gday darky...

I guess you are using the DFS panel?? When I rate the races I do it the day before and that panel is not available... I reckon if i was to use that panel, it would skew the ratings towards the panel horses.. I have slightly tweaked (again) the weight variable with today's ratings... plus a couple of others I ahve changed the weightings... it seems that by doing this I am representing the market order a little bit better.

I am interested (very) to understand what you have found that seems to be working.. At present I am doing the usual.. taking the overs and having a few quinellas here and there... that is working pretty well

__________________
Good luck and good punting

xptdriver@hotmail.com

well done xptdriver,

got good value on the 2nd race in cowra!

__________________
get in the Q