Is there any major difference in strike rate between the various track conditions on your ratings.
Cheers.
darky.

Gday darky,

I would have to have a look and I'm not sure I have my records sorted in a way to do that properly, what I do know tho, is that I suck royally on the metro melbourne tracks... I haven't got them sussed for some reason, I really dont take a lot of notice of a horse's performance at today's track, maybe that is the reason Moonee Valley is a nightmare for me... I do way better with the country meetings, but having said that it comes in cycles too..

AS for track conditions... I do them all a few days in advance so set them at Good, If there is a wet track I add a runner in my top 5 that is the best wet tracker in my opinion and drop the lowest scoring original out.... sometimes it works some times not.. thats a hard one to answer

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Good luck and good punting

xptdriver@hotmail.com

Reading between the lines on some of your posts I figured that the country /provincials would have a higher strike rate, and would be favored by you over the Metropolitans.
Without the price assessments is it a good idea to concentrate on the top 2 after scratchings.
Cheers and many thanks.
darky.

Gday darky,

I gotta say I am kinda interested in something you wrote in another thread about bracketing the top 4 and betting more on the longer priced ones.. I think that would probably show promise... I see where you are coming from with the Top 2 idea.. I have managed to snag some pretty good winners at double figures in the top 2 recently, but I don't know how long that will continue.. I am tempted to try only staking things over 5/1 maybe or even double figures.. what do you think of that idea?

I reckon probably 6 or 7 times out of ten I tend to find the fave as my top rater, but that doesnt mean I think that it will win, it's just what the numbers say..

I have continued to make very nice money just taking overs... that means a lot of the time I am not backing my toppie.. sometimes I win sometimes I lose, but you and I know thats the nature of the game
I explained somewhere else on this site why I don't post prices anymore (whingers), and I leave it to people to make their own minds up on the price they should take.

I think the Sytem I have been posting is showing some promise, I see Macris Cabin won for me yesterday at 4$... I havent checked the Territory yet, so there might be a place getter or winner there too

__________________
Good luck and good punting

xptdriver@hotmail.com

My namesake only came 3rd. As for Marcris Cabin, it was also a selection for my unitab system, so was one of my bets yesterday.

With your system 1, I'm pretty sure I know that rule you referred to which produces more bets in places like WA and N.Qld and the bush etc. It IS a good rule I think, but I guess it could be skewed. Do you have any figures on where System 1 works best.

Gday Sportz,

yeah I see ya ran 3rd

I would be loathe to say, they seem to be mainly in the west and country areas, I think its got to do with the limited number of meetings , thats why there were so many at Alice yesterday, I think they had a couple of meetings in the last week.. and thats why they all got rolled I guess It is purely mechanical.. some would say that is why it is bound to fail... I think it will work because of the 1x3 betting requirement, it does find lotsa place getters, and the place div should keep you afloat I would reckon... it looks for fit horses in form (don't they all?) Or I t could fall over spectacularly, but at the moment we are in front.. lets hope it stays there

__________________
Good luck and good punting

xptdriver@hotmail.com